The core conflict isn't just about AI philosophy. Both Musk and Altman possess the rare skill of brokering multi-billion dollar capital flows from finance into deep tech. They are direct competitors for controlling this crucial 'trade route' of capital, which is the true source of their animosity.

According to Apollo's co-president, increasing questions around the off-balance-sheet debt used by AI labs to finance GPUs will pressure them to go public sooner than anticipated. An IPO would provide access to more traditional and transparent capital markets, such as convertible debt and public equity, to fund their massive infrastructure needs.

By owning both the launch capability (SpaceX) and the network (Starlink), Musk could exert ultimate control over internet infrastructure. This creates a scenario where he could deny network access to rivals, like OpenAI, representing a powerful and unprecedented form of vertical integration.

SpaceX's dominant position can be framed for an IPO not as a player in terrestrial industries, but as the owner of 90% of the entire universe's launch capabilities. This narrative positions it as controlling the infrastructure for all future off-planet economies, from connectivity to defense, dwarfing Earth-bound tech giants.

OpenAI's aggressive partnerships for compute are designed to achieve "escape velocity." By locking up supply and talent, they are creating a capital barrier so high (~$150B in CapEx by 2030) that it becomes nearly impossible for any entity besides the largest hyperscalers to compete at scale.

As the current low-cost producer of AI tokens via its custom TPUs, Google's rational strategy is to operate at low or even negative margins. This "sucks the economic oxygen out of the AI ecosystem," making it difficult for capital-dependent competitors to justify their high costs and raise new funding rounds.

SoftBank selling its NVIDIA stake to fund OpenAI's data centers shows that the cost of AI infrastructure exceeds any single funding source. To pay for it, companies are creating a "Barbenheimer" mix of financing: selling public stock, raising private venture capital, securing government backing, and issuing long-term corporate debt.

The current market is unique in that a handful of private AI companies like OpenAI have an outsized, direct impact on the valuations of many public companies. This makes it essential for public market investors to deeply understand private market developments to make informed decisions.

The futuristic idea of space-based data centers is framed not as an immediate technical plan but as a powerful narrative for a potential SpaceX IPO. This story creates an immense, futuristic total addressable market required to justify a multi-trillion-dollar valuation, a classic Musk strategy for attracting public market capital.