The focus on AI writing code is narrow, as coding represents only 10-20% of the total software development effort. The most significant productivity gains will come from AI automating other critical, time-consuming stages like testing, security, and deployment, fundamentally reshaping the entire lifecycle.

Related Insights

As AI coding agents generate vast amounts of code, the most tedious part of a developer's job shifts from writing code to reviewing it. This creates a new product opportunity: building tools that help developers validate and build confidence in AI-written code, making the review process less of a chore.

AI's impact on coding is unfolding in stages. Phase 1 was autocomplete (Copilot). We're now in Phase 2, defined by interactive agents where developers orchestrate tasks with prompts. Phase 3 will be true automation, where agents independently handle complete, albeit simpler, development workflows without direct human guidance.

The most significant productivity gains come from applying AI to every stage of development, including research, planning, product marketing, and status updates. Limiting AI to just code generation misses the larger opportunity to automate the entire engineering process.

AI tools are automating code generation, reducing the time developers spend writing it. Consequently, the primary skill shifts to carefully reviewing and verifying the AI-generated code for correctness and security. This means a developer's time is now spent more on review and architecture than on implementation.

Simply deploying AI to write code faster doesn't increase end-to-end velocity. It creates a new bottleneck where human engineers are overwhelmed with reviewing a flood of AI-generated code. To truly benefit, companies must also automate verification and validation processes.

AI acts as a massive force multiplier for software development. By using AI agents for coding and code review, with humans providing high-level direction and final approval, a two-person team can achieve the output of a much larger engineering organization.

The role of a senior developer is evolving. They now focus on defining outcomes by writing tests that a piece of code must accomplish. The AI then generates the actual implementation, allowing small teams to build complex systems in a fraction of the traditional time.

At Block, the most surprising impact of AI hasn't been on engineers, but on non-technical staff. Teams like enterprise risk management now use AI agents to build their own software tools, compressing weeks of work into hours and bypassing the need to wait for internal engineering teams.

It's infeasible for humans to manually review thousands of lines of AI-generated code. The abstraction of review is moving up the stack. Instead of checking syntax, developers will validate high-level plans, two-sentence summaries, and behavioral outcomes in a testing environment.

As AI generates more code, the core engineering task evolves from writing to reviewing. Developers will spend significantly more time evaluating AI-generated code for correctness, style, and reliability, fundamentally changing daily workflows and skill requirements.