The AI industry is hitting data limits for training massive, general-purpose models. The next wave of progress will likely come from creating highly specialized models for specific domains, similar to DeepMind's AlphaFold, which can achieve superhuman performance on narrow tasks.

An LLM shouldn't do math internally any more than a human would. The most intelligent AI systems will be those that know when to call specialized, reliable tools—like a Python interpreter or a search API—instead of attempting to internalize every capability from first principles.

Language is just one 'keyhole' into intelligence. True artificial general intelligence (AGI) requires 'world modeling'—a spatial intelligence that understands geometry, physics, and actions. This capability to represent and interact with the state of the world is the next critical phase of AI development beyond current language models.

A remarkable feature of the current LLM era is that AI researchers can contribute to solving grand challenges in highly specialized domains, such as winning an IMO Gold medal, without possessing deep personal knowledge of that field. The model acts as a universal tool that transcends the operator's expertise.

Demis Hassabis argues against an LLM-only path to AGI, citing DeepMind's successes like AlphaGo and AlphaFold as evidence. He advocates for "hybrid systems" (or neurosymbolics) that combine neural networks with other techniques like search or evolutionary methods to discover truly new knowledge, not just remix existing data.

Current AI models resemble a student who grinds 10,000 hours on a narrow task. They achieve superhuman performance on benchmarks but lack the broad, adaptable intelligence of someone with less specific training but better general reasoning. This explains the gap between eval scores and real-world utility.

Early on, Google's Jules team built complex scaffolding with numerous sub-agents to compensate for model weaknesses. As models like Gemini improved, they found that simpler architectures performed better and were easier to maintain. The complex scaffolding was a temporary crutch, not a sustainable long-term solution.

Initially, even OpenAI believed a single, ultimate 'model to rule them all' would emerge. This thinking has completely changed to favor a proliferation of specialized models, creating a healthier, less winner-take-all ecosystem where different models serve different needs.

Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis argues that today's large models are insufficient for AGI. He believes progress requires reintroducing algorithmic techniques from systems like AlphaGo, specifically planning and search, to enable more robust reasoning and problem-solving capabilities beyond simple pattern matching.