Instead of everything simply getting dumber, media is splitting into two extremes. Both hyper-short (four-second videos) and hyper-long (four-hour podcasts) content are thriving. It is the middle-length, moderately complex content that is being hollowed out as audiences gravitate towards the poles.
Derek Thompson posits that media forms like podcasting, social media, and AI are all evolving toward a singular "attractor state": an endless, algorithmically recommended stream of video. This isn't a strategic choice but an inevitable market dynamic, much like a marble rolling to the bottom of a bowl.
Short TV segments act as a teaser, sparking curiosity that drives sales. In contrast, long-form podcasts are so effective at unpacking a book's core ideas that listeners feel they've already consumed the product, which reduces their motivation to buy the actual book.
Despite competing with short-form content like TikTok, Ken Burns' long documentaries succeed because they are built on compelling storytelling. This challenges the myth of shrinking attention spans, suggesting instead that audiences demand more engaging content, regardless of its length.
As AI drives the cost of content creation to zero, the world floods with 'average' material. In this environment, the most valuable and scarce skill becomes 'taste'—the ability to identify, curate, and champion high-quality, commercially viable work. This elevates the role of human curators over pure creators.
The internet democratizes consumption but consolidates production, meaning everyone remembers Apple but not Samsung's founder, Usain Bolt but not the silver medalist. The gap between #1 and #2 is infinite fame versus obscurity. In content-driven markets, the only rational strategy is to aim for being "insanely great," not just "good."
A/B testing on platforms like YouTube reveals a clear trend: the more incendiary and negative the language in titles and headlines, the more clicks they generate. This profit incentive drives the proliferation of outrage-based content, with inflammatory headlines reportedly up 140%.
Human communication is returning to its oral and visual roots. Text, a low-dimensional medium, was a temporary necessity for scalable knowledge storage—a 'parenthesis' in history. As AI makes creating rich media as easy as writing, society will default back to more natural, higher-bandwidth formats like audio and video.
The algorithmic shift on platforms like Instagram, YouTube, and Facebook towards short-form video has leveled the playing field. New creators can gain massive reach with a single viral video, an opportunity not seen in over a decade, akin to the early days of Facebook.
The same technologies accused of shortening attention spans are also creating highly obsessive micro-tribes and fandoms. This contradicts the narrative of a universal decline in focus, suggesting a shift in what we pay attention to, not an inability to focus.