Job seekers use AI to generate resumes en masse, forcing employers to use AI filters to manage the volume. This creates a vicious cycle where more AI is needed to beat the filters, resulting in a "low-hire, low-fire" equilibrium. While activity seems high, actual hiring has stalled, masking a significant economic disruption.

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October saw the highest number of U.S. job cuts in two decades, with consulting firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas explicitly citing AI adoption as a key driver. This data confirms that AI's impact on employment is an ongoing event, moving beyond speculation into measurable, significant job displacement.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated that after accounting for statistical anomalies, "job creation is pretty close to zero." He directly attributes this to CEOs confirming that AI allows them to operate with fewer people, marking a major official acknowledgment of AI's deflationary effect on the labor market.

AI makes tasks cheaper and faster. This increased efficiency doesn't reduce the need for workers; instead, it increases the demand for their work, as companies can now afford to do more of it. This creates a positive feedback loop that may lead to more hiring, not less.

Recent events, including the Fed's interest rate cuts citing unemployment uncertainty and AI-driven corporate restructuring, show AI's economic impact is no longer theoretical. Top economists are now demanding the U.S. Labor Department track AI's effect on jobs in real-time.

An informal poll of the podcast's audience shows nearly a quarter of companies have already reduced hiring for entry-level roles. This is a tangible, early indicator that AI-driven efficiency gains are displacing junior talent, not just automating tasks.

While high-profile layoffs make headlines, the more widespread effect of AI is that companies are maintaining or reducing headcount through attrition rather than active firing. They are leveraging AI to grow their business without expanding their workforce, creating a challenging hiring environment for new entrants.

Companies are preemptively slowing hiring for roles they anticipate AI will automate within two years. This "quiet hiring freeze" avoids the cost of hiring, training, and then laying off staff. It is a subtle but powerful leading indicator of labor market disruption, happening long before official unemployment figures reflect the shift.

The enormous market caps of leading AI companies can only be justified by finding trillions of dollars in efficiencies. This translates directly into a required labor destruction of roughly 10 million jobs, or 12.5% of the vulnerable workforce, suggesting market turmoil or mass unemployment is inevitable.

The dramatic increase in "AI PM" job listings isn't just about new roles. It's a marketing tactic. Companies use the "AI" label to attract top talent, and candidates adopt it to signal value and command higher salaries, creating a feedback loop.

The real inflection point for widespread job displacement will be when businesses decide to hire an AI agent over a human for a full-time role. Current job losses are from human efficiency gains, not agent-based replacement, which is a critical distinction for future workforce planning.

AI is Creating a Self-Perpetuating Feedback Loop that is Freezing the Job Market | RiffOn