When Fal was debating its pivot, their investor Todd Jackson asked which idea would get to $1M ARR faster versus $10M ARR faster. This framework forced them to evaluate not just immediate traction but long-term market size and velocity. It provided the clarity needed to abandon a working product for one with a much higher ceiling.
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Project-based companies operate on a cash flow mindset, accepting any custom work that brings in immediate revenue. A true product company uses an investment mindset, strategically saying 'no' to short-term revenue to invest in building a scalable asset that can win a market long-term.
Founders can waste time trying to force an initial idea. The key is to remain open-minded and identify where the market is surprisingly easy to sell into. Mercor found hypergrowth by pivoting from general hiring to serving the intense, specific needs of AI labs.
The tension between growth and profitability is best resolved by understanding your product's "runway" (be it 6 months or 6 years). This single piece of information, often misaligned between teams and leadership, should dictate your strategic focus. The key task is to uncover this true runway.
Deciding to pivot isn't about perseverance; it's a cold, rational decision made when you've exhausted all non-ridiculous ideas for success. The main barrier is emotional—it's "fucking humiliating" to admit you were wrong. The key is to separate the intellectual decision from the emotional cost.
To manage the psychological difficulty of abandoning a working product with paying customers, Fal's founders convinced themselves their pivot wasn't a drastic change but just a shift in workload. This mental reframing helped them overcome the inertia and social pressure associated with a major strategic change, allowing them to pursue the much larger opportunity in AI inference.
Before a major business pivot, first identify what can be let go or scaled back. This creates the necessary space and resources for the new direction, preventing overwhelm and ensuring the pivot is an extension of identity, not just another added task on your plate.
A visionary founder must be willing to shelve their ultimate, long-term product vision if the market isn't ready. The pragmatic approach is to pivot to an immediate, tangible customer problem. This builds a foundational business and necessary ecosystem trust, paving the way to realize the grander vision in the future.
Chasing ten $10k deals over one $100k deal is a mistake. Smaller deals attract clients who nickel-and-dime you, don't fully buy into the vision, and provide distracting feedback. A single large deal provides a committed partner who will help guide your product roadmap.
A core investment framework is to distinguish between 'pull' companies, where the market organically and virally demands the product, and 'push' companies that have to force their solution onto the market. The former indicates stronger product-market fit and a higher potential for efficient, scalable growth.
This provides a simple but powerful framework for venture investing. For companies in markets with demonstrably huge TAMs (e.g., AI coding), valuation is secondary to backing the winner. For markets with a more uncertain or constrained TAM (e.g., vertical SaaS), traditional valuation discipline and entry price matter significantly.
