While friends and family may buy a product out of support, the first sale to a complete stranger is a crucial moment of validation. For Michael Dubin, this "stranger validation" was the encouragement needed to confirm that the problem he was solving was real and that the business had potential.

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The common advice to conduct unbiased discovery interviews sounds logical but often fails. The truest way to validate an idea and understand customer needs is through the act of selling. This forces a concrete value exchange and reveals genuine demand in a way that hypothetical conversations cannot.

Positive feedback and expressions of interest are misleading. The ultimate validation for a product idea is a customer's willingness to commit real currency, whether through direct payment or a signed letter of intent. Without this commitment, you have a charity, not a business.

Never start a business without first validating demand by securing commitments from at least three initial clients. This strategy ensures immediate revenue and proves product-market fit from day one, avoiding the common trap of building a service that nobody wants to buy.

Friends provide biased feedback. For a truer market signal, launch a waitlist for your product on a relevant, niche online community like Hacker News. The volume of sign-ups from your target audience provides a far more realistic and valuable measure of initial demand than conversations with your personal network.

Internal debates and market studies are noise. The clearest signal to build a new product is when a potential customer explicitly states they will pay for a simplified solution to a complex problem. This removes ambiguity and confirms a genuine, urgent need.

Instead of waiting for a working product, the founders invested in a conference booth with just screenshots. This early, public validation test, though risky, attracted two crucial prospects who became their first customers. This demonstrated market demand before the product was fully built, a move many founders would avoid.

During validation calls for Merge, prospective customers expressed extreme annoyance with the status quo but were skeptical the founders could technically solve it. This combination was the ultimate signal: the pain was immense, and a successful solution would be highly defensible and valuable.

Replace speculative feedback from discovery calls with a process that would be "weird if it didn't work." First, get strangers to pre-pay for a solution. Then, deliver it manually. This confirms real demand (payment) and validates the solution's value (retention) before writing code.

Entrepreneurs often avoid asking friends and family for business, fearing they'll appear unsuccessful before they've even started. This is a mistake. If your mission is authentic, this immediate network is the most likely group to offer support, provide crucial early feedback, and create initial business momentum.

A powerful, low-cost way to validate demand is to cold message thousands of potential users on platforms like Facebook groups. Crucially, ask for a small payment upfront (e.g., $20). This filters out polite but non-committal interest, providing a strong signal of genuine need and willingness to pay.