Successful AI products follow a three-stage evolution. Version 1.0 attracts 'AI tourists' who play with the tool. Version 2.0 serves early adopters who provide crucial feedback. Only version 3.0 is ready to target the mass market, which hates change and requires a truly polished, valuable product.
Many teams wrongly focus on the latest models and frameworks. True improvement comes from classic product development: talking to users, preparing better data, optimizing workflows, and writing better prompts.
AI's impact on coding is unfolding in stages. Phase 1 was autocomplete (Copilot). We're now in Phase 2, defined by interactive agents where developers orchestrate tasks with prompts. Phase 3 will be true automation, where agents independently handle complete, albeit simpler, development workflows without direct human guidance.
Unlike traditional software where PMF is a stable milestone, in the rapidly evolving AI space, it's a "treadmill." Customer expectations and technological capabilities shift weekly, forcing even nine-figure revenue companies to constantly re-validate and recapture their market fit to survive.
In AI, low prototyping costs and customer uncertainty make the traditional research-first PM model obsolete. The new approach is to build a prototype quickly, show it to customers to discover possibilities, and then iterate based on their reactions, effectively building the solution before the problem is fully defined.
To get mainstream users to adopt AI, you can't ask them to learn a new workflow. The key is to integrate AI capabilities directly into the tools and processes they already use. AI should augment their current job, not feel like a separate, new task they have to perform.
Instead of building a single-purpose application (first-order thinking), successful AI product strategy involves creating platforms that enable users to build their own solutions (second-order thinking). This approach targets a much larger opportunity by empowering users to create custom workflows.
Because AI products improve so rapidly, it's crucial to proactively bring lapsed users back. A user who tried the product a year ago has no idea how much better it is today. Marketing pushes around major version launches (e.g., v3.0) can create a step-change in weekly active users.
Jason Fried argues that while AI dramatically accelerates building tools for yourself, it falls short when creating products for a wider audience. The art of product development for others lies in handling countless edge cases and conditions that a solo user can overlook, a complexity AI doesn't yet master.
The promise of AI shouldn't be a one-click solution that removes the user. Instead, AI should be a collaborative partner that augments human capacity. A successful AI product leaves room for user participation, making them feel like they are co-building the experience and have a stake in the outcome.
The rapid evolution of AI makes traditional product development cycles too slow. GitHub's CPO advises that every AI feature is a search for product-market fit. The best strategy is to find five customers with a shared problem and build openly with them, iterating daily rather than building in isolation for weeks.