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For decades, China's rapid growth reduced global inequality. Now that it is an upper-middle-income nation, its high growth widens the gap with poorer countries in Africa and Asia, making it a net contributor to global inequality.
To stop starving its population, China embraced capitalist ideas: leveraging self-interest, creating jobs, and allowing for income inequality. This paradoxical move by a communist regime serves as powerful evidence that capitalism is the most effective tool for pulling masses out of poverty.
Unlike in the West, China's economic dysfunctions like industrial overcapacity paradoxically strengthen its global position. This creates massive trade surpluses and investment leverage, forcing other nations to welcome Chinese capital and increasing Beijing's geopolitical heft.
China's economic success is driven by a small, hyper-competitive private sector (the top 5%). This masks a much larger, dysfunctional morass of state-owned enterprises, leading to declining overall capital productivity despite headline-grabbing advances.
China's economic miracle was not a triumph of communism but a pragmatic adoption of capitalist incentives. The government realized that allowing individuals to selfishly get ahead—creating income inequality—was the only effective mechanism to spur economic activity and lift millions of people from starvation.
While China's high-tech manufacturing output soars (up 9.4%), retail sales lag significantly (up only 3.7%). This stark divergence reveals a fundamentally imbalanced economy that excels at production but fails to distribute wealth to its citizens, suppressing domestic demand and risking a future crash.
While designed to reward merit, China's Gaokao system favors the wealthy. Families in elite districts or those who can afford expensive private tutoring have a significant advantage, perpetuating inequality rather than providing a level playing field for all students.
Despite being governed by the Communist Party, China exhibits a higher Gini coefficient—a measure of wealth inequality—than any of the G7 capitalist nations, including the US. This stark paradox highlights the deep economic disparities that have emerged, challenging the country's nominal political ideology.
For Chinese policymakers, AI is more than a productivity tool; it represents a crucial opportunity to escape the middle-income trap. They are betting that leadership in AI can fuel the innovation needed to transition from a labor-intensive economy to a developed one, avoiding the stagnation that has plagued other emerging markets.
Faced with a stagnant middle class, Western governments had two options: redistribute wealth from their own top earners or blame external forces. They chose the politically easier path of scapegoating China, leading to protectionism instead of domestic social democratic reforms.
Viewing China as a "rising" power is incorrect; it's a "reascending" one. For 70% of the years since 1500, China had the world's largest GDP. Its current trajectory is a return to its historical dominance, a framing that fundamentally alters the understanding of its global ambitions.