AI modeling transforms drug development from a numbers game of screening millions of compounds to an engineering discipline. Researchers can model molecular systems upfront, understand key parameters, and design solutions for a specific problem, turning a costly screening process into a rapid, targeted design cycle.

Instead of viewing partnerships like Nvidia and Eli Lilly as a competitive threat, Recursion's CEO sees it as powerful validation for the AI drug discovery space. This activity shifts the industry conversation from skepticism ('Will this work?') to urgency ('Who will win?'), benefiting pioneering companies like Recursion by confirming their founding thesis and attracting more investment and attention to the field.

Companies run numerous disconnected AI pilots in R&D, commercial, and other silos, each with its own metrics. This fragmented approach prevents enterprise-wide impact and disconnects AI investment from C-suite goals like share price or revenue growth. The core problem is strategic, not technical.

Unlike previous technologies, ChatGPT’s launch created immediate, widespread pressure on biopharma executives. Prompted by their boards and even families, they recognized the potential to leapfrog years of development, rapidly elevating AI on the corporate agenda despite concerns about data privacy and IP.

Enterprises struggle to get value from AI due to a lack of iterative, data-science expertise. The winning model for AI companies isn't just selling APIs, but embedding "forward deployment" teams of engineers and scientists to co-create solutions, closing the gap between prototype and production value.

Many pharma companies have breakthrough AI results in isolated functions, or "pockets of excellence." However, the ultimate competitive advantage will go to the company that first connects these disparate successes into a single, integrated, enterprise-wide AI capability, thereby creating compounded value across the organization.

Large pharma companies are discovering that implementing AI to solve one part of the drug development workflow, like target discovery, creates new bottlenecks downstream. The subsequent, non-optimized stages become overwhelmed, highlighting the need for a holistic, fully choreographed approach to AI adoption across the entire R&D pipeline.

Pharma companies engaging in 'pilotitis'—running random, unscalable AI projects—are destined to fall behind. Sustainable competitive advantage comes from integrating AI across the entire value chain and connecting it to core business outcomes, not from isolated experiments.

AI companies are pivoting from simply building more powerful models to creating downstream applications. This shift is driven by the fact that enterprises, despite investing heavily in AI promises, have largely failed to see financial returns. The focus is now on customized, problem-first solutions to deliver tangible value.