Despite FDA readiness for a final Phase 3 trial, Connect Biopharma chose to run more Phase 2 studies. They discovered their long-term asthma drug worked in hours, not weeks, and are now pivoting to prove its value in acute, emergency situations, which informs a stronger, more targeted Phase 3 design.
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Don't wait until Phase 3 to think about commercialization. Biotech firms must embed secondary endpoints in Phase 2 trials that capture quality of life and patient journey insights. This data is critical for building a compelling value proposition that resonates with payers and secures market access.
Running an unusually long, two-year Phase 2 trial allowed Vera to demonstrate stabilization of GFR, a hard kidney function endpoint. This robust, long-term data was crucial for de-risking their Phase 3 program and ultimately securing a coveted Breakthrough Therapy Designation from the FDA, accelerating their path to market.
The traditional drug-centric trial model is failing. The next evolution is trials designed to validate the *decision-making process* itself, using platforms to assign the best therapy to heterogeneous patient groups, rather than testing one drug on a narrow population.
Praxis Interactive's essential tremor drug succeeded in Phase 3 despite an earlier data monitoring committee (DMC) recommendation to stop for futility. This rare outcome shows that interim analyses on a small fraction of patients can be misleading due to high variance, and continuing a trial against DMC advice can be a winning strategy.
ProKidney made the tough call to stop its second Phase 3 study to save $150-170M. This strategic trade-off allowed them to focus resources on the primary US trial under its RMAT designation and crucially extend their cash runway past the 2027 data readout, a vital move for survival in a tough biotech market.
The FDA now allows a single, well-designed pivotal trial instead of the traditional two. This reform significantly cuts costs by $100M-$300M and shortens development timelines, enabling companies to test twice as many potential drugs with the same capital.
To save money, Rhythm's leadership considered canceling a clinical study because the prevailing scientific logic suggested their drug wouldn't work. The study's unexpected, resounding success became the company's pivotal turning point, highlighting the value of pursuing scientifically contrarian ideas.
Peptilogics shifted from the challenging general antibiotic market to a niche with massive unmet needs after an orthopedic surgeon collaborator called their drug "the greatest thing I've ever seen" for prosthetic joint infections, an application the CEO hadn't even considered.
Contrary to market convention, a trial delay can be a bullish signal. When an independent data monitoring committee (IDMC) recommends adding more patients, as with Bristol's ADEPT-2 study, it implies they've seen a therapeutic signal worth salvaging, potentially increasing the trial's ultimate chance of success.
Repro Novo licensed a drug that did not meet its primary endpoint in a prior Phase 2b trial. They identified a positive signal in an exploratory endpoint—improved semen quality—and built their new clinical strategy around making that the primary endpoint, salvaging a potentially valuable asset.
