Companies using new technologies merely to cut costs and boost margins often fail. The winning strategy, proven during the containerization era by firms like Walmart, is to pass efficiencies to consumers. This drives volume and captures the market, a superior playbook for AI adoption.
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Walmart's primary view of AI is offensive, focusing on growth opportunities like creating a personalized, multimedia e-commerce experience. This shifts the narrative from AI as merely a defensive efficiency tool to a strategic growth driver, fundamentally changing how people shop.
The true ROI of AI lies in reallocating the time and resources saved from automation towards accelerating growth and innovation. Instead of simply cutting staff, companies should use the efficiency gains to pursue new initiatives that increase demand for their products or services.
Focusing on AI for cost savings yields incremental gains. The transformative value comes from rethinking entire workflows to drive top-line growth. This is achieved by either delivering a service much faster or by expanding a high-touch service to a vastly larger audience ("do more").
Using AI for incremental efficiency gains (10% thinking) is becoming table stakes. True competitive advantage lies in 10X thinking: using AI to fundamentally reimagine your business model, services, and market approach. Companies that only optimize will be outmaneuvered by those that transform.
Most companies use AI for optimization—making existing processes faster and cheaper. The greater opportunity is innovation: using AI to create entirely new forms of value. This "10x thinking" is critical for growth, especially as pure efficiency gains will ultimately lead to a reduced need for human workers.
C-suites are more motivated to adopt AI for revenue-generating "front office" activities (like investment analysis) than for cost-saving "back office" automation. The direct, tangible impact on making more money overcomes the organizational inertia that often stalls efficiency-focused technology deployments.
Coastline Academy frames AI's value around productivity gains, not just expense reduction. Their small engineering team increased output by 80% in one year without new hires by using AI as an augmentation tool. This approach focuses on scaling capabilities rather than simply shrinking teams.
AI companies operate under the assumption that LLM prices will trend towards zero. This strategic bet means they intentionally de-prioritize heavy investment in cost optimization today, focusing instead on capturing the market and building features, confident that future, cheaper models will solve their margin problems for them.
Marks questions whether companies will use AI-driven cost savings to boost profit margins or if competition will force them into price wars. If the latter occurs, the primary beneficiaries of AI's efficiency will be customers, not shareholders, limiting the technology's impact on corporate profitability.
The best historical parallel for AI isn't the dot-com boom but containerization. Its greatest beneficiaries were not new shipping companies, but incumbents like IKEA and Walmart that leveraged the efficiency for massive scale. AI's true winners will likely be existing businesses that successfully integrate the technology.