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Diogo Almeida claims that even with a billion-dollar investment, he would not engage in pre-training a new foundation model. He believes the most significant leverage and innovation comes from post-training techniques and superior data strategy, which can create more value than competing on raw compute for pre-training.
Clay Bavor advises building proprietary frameworks and architectures to create a unique product. However, he warns against the massive, ongoing capital expense of pre-training foundation models, calling them a "highly perishable bag of floating point numbers" that startups should avoid.
Reports that OpenAI hasn't completed a new full-scale pre-training run since May 2024 suggest a strategic shift. The race for raw model scale may be less critical than enhancing existing models with better reasoning and product features that customers demand. The business goal is profit, not necessarily achieving the next level of model intelligence.
The first step for an AI startup is to prove value using the best off-the-shelf models, even if they are expensive. Investing in custom models and post-training is a form of optimization that should only happen after product-market fit is established and there is a clear user signal to optimize for.
Early-stage AI startups should resist spending heavily on fine-tuning foundational models. With base models improving so rapidly, the defensible value lies in building the application layer, workflow integrations, and enterprise-grade software that makes the AI useful, allowing the startup to ride the wave of general model improvement.
Instead of expensive, static pre-training on proprietary data, enterprises prefer RAG. This approach is cheaper, allows for easy updates as data changes, and benefits from continuous improvements in foundation models, making it a more practical and dynamic solution.
The key advantage of labs like OpenAI isn't just pre-training, but their ability to continuously post-train models on product-specific data. This tight feedback loop between the model and the product is their real competitive moat, which Prime Intellect aims to democratize for all companies.
The founder of Stormy AI focuses on building a company that benefits from, rather than competes with, improving foundation models. He avoids over-optimizing for current model limitations, ensuring his business becomes stronger, not obsolete, with every new release like GPT-5. This strategy is key to building a durable AI company.
Algorithmic improvements alone are not enough for a new AI lab to challenge incumbents, who are also researching next-gen architectures. The only viable path is to focus on domains where proprietary data can be generated and is unavailable to the big labs, such as robotics or specialized life sciences.
As algorithms become more widespread, the key differentiator for leading AI labs is their exclusive access to vast, private data sets. XAI has Twitter, Google has YouTube, and OpenAI has user conversations, creating unique training advantages that are nearly impossible for others to replicate.
Contrary to the norm, TypeSafe AI avoids training on user data. They believe real-world data is heavily biased towards current use cases, which would cause the model to "fracture" and fail on future, unimagined applications. Their goal is a general cognitive core, not a model optimized for today's queries.