A key contrast between the U.S. and China lies in the security of wealth. In China, even billionaires can be purged by the state. In the U.S., wealth is more easily converted into political influence and security, making it a safer haven for the ultra-rich, though this creates societal imbalances.
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Contemporary China, with its maniacal building, corrupt systems, and creation of immense entrepreneurial wealth, strongly resembles America's late 19th-century Gilded Age. This historical parallel suggests China may be heading towards its own "Progressive Era" of technocratic reform and civil service improvements.
Extreme wealth creates a dangerous societal rift not just through inequality, but by allowing the ultra-rich to opt out of public systems. They have their own concierge healthcare, private transportation, and elite schools, making them immune to and ignorant of the struggles faced by the other 99.9%, which fuels populist anger.
China's narrative of national success is contradicted by a significant diaspora of its citizens—from millionaires and creatives to ordinary workers. This flight of human capital seeking stability and freedom abroad signals a fundamental precariousness within the authoritarian system that pure economic growth cannot solve.
According to Ray Dalio's historical analysis, today's severe wealth inequality creates irreconcilable political divisions and populism. This pattern mirrors past eras, such as the 1930s, where internal conflict became so intense that several democratic nations chose to become autocracies to restore order.
This framework contrasts China's top-down, control-oriented approach (e.g., one-child policy, zero-COVID) with the American focus on individual rights and legal process, explaining their divergent development paths and societal structures.
Despite America's high standard of living, decades of wage stagnation have created a national psychology of pessimism. Conversely, China's explosive wage growth, even from a lower base, fosters optimism. This psychological dimension, driven by the *trajectory* of wealth, is a powerful and often overlooked political force.
The U.S. has "asset feudalism" (propping up the S&P), while China has "factory feudalism" (subsidizing exports). All these systems concentrate wealth and power, leaving the bottom 90% of the population with little capacity to consume, which leads to global stagnation.
As the first trillionaires emerge, they will absorb the public and political scrutiny currently aimed at billionaires. This dynamic will effectively normalize billionaire status, much like the rise of billionaires made millionaires seem more commonplace and less of a target for criticism over wealth inequality.
Buttigieg frames wealth inequality not just as an economic issue but as an existential threat to the American republic. He states that historically, no republic has been able to maintain its form of government after reaching the current level of wealth and power concentration seen in the U.S.
Through capital and connections, the top 1% can navigate the legal and political systems to their advantage—from securing bailouts to obtaining pardons. This creates a two-tiered system of justice where the law binds the 99% but does not equally protect them.
