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Sovereign debt's value, and thus a currency's credibility, is underpinned by three limits. Governments have surpassed the economic limit (debt rises faster than GDP), the fiscal limit (deficits become unsustainable), and the inflationary limit (money printing causes inflation). This breach is why reserve currency status is now in question.

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When investors stop buying government bonds, the central bank is forced to print money to cover the debt. The market anticipates this, triggering a self-fulfilling prophecy of high inflation, which effectively devalues the debt and impoverishes citizens.

When national debt grows too large, an economy enters "fiscal dominance." The central bank loses its ability to manage the economy, as raising rates causes hyperinflation to cover debt payments while lowering them creates massive asset bubbles, leaving no good options.

A government funding unsustainable promises has only three choices, all of which terminate in dead ends. It can tax harder, causing capital flight; borrow more, leading to a debt crisis; or print money, destroying the currency's value. Each path inevitably leads to economic ruin.

The endgame for unsustainable government debt is not austerity but monetization. Albert Edwards argues that political weakness and fiscal incontinence will eventually force central banks to print money to cover debts. This 'fiscal dominance' will mark a return to the double-digit inflation levels of the 1970s.

The silver crisis, where paper claims became worthless without physical backing, is a direct analogy for the US dollar. Its value relies solely on global confidence, which is eroding due to massive national debt. This makes the dollar the ultimate fragile “paper asset,” susceptible to a similar rapid loss of trust.

Investor Ray Dalio explains that national debt reaches a crisis point not because of its size, but when two things happen: debt payments squeeze out essential spending, and low demand for new debt forces central banks to print money to buy it, thus devaluing the currency.

Unlike other countries, the U.S. can't truly become insolvent because, as the world's reserve currency, it can always print more dollars to pay its debts. The actual danger is that the government will devalue the currency through inflation, effectively stealing purchasing power from everyone.

While being the world's reserve currency provides a buffer against debt crises, it also enables U.S. leaders to push fiscal limits further than other nations could. This cushion means that if confidence does eventually break, the resulting collapse will be far more catastrophic for both the U.S. and the global economy.

As the world's reserve currency, the US can always print money to cover its debts and avoid a technical default. The true danger is not insolvency but the resulting hyperinflation, which devalues the dollar and silently erodes the purchasing power of everyone holding it, both domestically and globally.

High debt and deficits limit policymakers' options. Central banks may face pressure to absorb government debt issuance, which conflicts with the goal of raising interest rates to curb inflation, leading to a new era of "fiscal dominance."