Hassabis argues AGI isn't just about solving existing problems. True AGI must demonstrate the capacity for breakthrough creativity, like Einstein developing a new theory of physics or Picasso creating a new art genre. This sets a much higher bar than current systems.

Companies like DeepMind, Meta, and SSI are using increasingly futuristic job titles like "Post-AGI Research" and "Safe Superintelligence Researcher." This isn't just semantics; it's a branding strategy to attract elite talent by framing their work as being on the absolute cutting edge, creating distinct sub-genres within the AI research community.

OpenAI's CEO believes the term "AGI" is ill-defined and its milestone may have passed without fanfare. He proposes focusing on "superintelligence" instead, defining it as an AI that can outperform the best human at complex roles like CEO or president, creating a clearer, more impactful threshold.

The hype around an imminent Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) event is fading among top AI practitioners. The consensus is shifting to a "Goldilocks scenario" where AI provides massive productivity gains as a synergistic tool, with true AGI still at least a decade away.

There's a stark contrast in AGI timeline predictions. Newcomers and enthusiasts often predict AGI within months or a few years. However, the field's most influential figures, like Ilya Sutskever and Andrej Karpathy, are now signaling that true AGI is likely decades away, suggesting the current paradigm has limitations.

The ultimate goal for leading labs isn't just creating AGI, but automating the process of AI research itself. By replacing human researchers with millions of "AI researchers," they aim to trigger a "fast takeoff" or recursive self-improvement. This makes automating high-level programming a key strategic milestone.

Sequoia's proclamation that AGI has arrived is a strategic move to energize founders. The firm argues that today's AI, particularly long-horizon agents, is already capable enough to solve major problems, urging entrepreneurs to stop waiting for a future breakthrough and start building now.

Dr. Li views the distinction between AI and AGI as largely semantic and market-driven, rather than a clear scientific threshold. The original goal of AI research, dating back to Turing, was to create machines that can think and act like humans. The term "AGI" doesn't fundamentally change this North Star for scientists.

Sequoia highlights the "AI effect": once an AI capability becomes mainstream, we stop calling it AI and give it a specific name, thereby moving the goalposts for "true" AI. This historical pattern of downplaying achievements is a key reason they are explicitly declaring the arrival of AGI.