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An OpenAI researcher tracked AI math progress as a 10x annual increase in problem complexity, measured in human solving time. This model predicted a Millennium Prize solution by 2028, but it was achieved in 2026, indicating a much faster-than-expected acceleration in reasoning capabilities.

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An OpenAI model, without any specific mathematical training, solved a famous 80-year-old math problem. This proves general-purpose AI can autonomously produce landmark scientific results, not just accelerate human research. It signals a new era for discovery where AI is a primary research agent.

The 130 billion tokens used by 10,000 AI agents to solve a Millennium Prize problem is equivalent to a single human's cognitive output over 4,000 years. This massive cognitive effort was compressed into less than four days, showcasing an unprecedented scale of concentrated intelligence.

Data from research organization METR shows that the time it takes for AI task capabilities to double is itself decreasing—from seven months to four. This indicates a "super-exponential" growth curve, where the rate of acceleration is itself accelerating.

The advancement of AI is not linear. While the industry anticipated a "year of agents" for practical assistance, the most significant recent progress has been in specialized, academic fields like competitive mathematics. This highlights the unpredictable nature of AI development.

An internal, general-purpose OpenAI model solved a famous combinatorial geometry problem without specialized training or scaffolding. Unlike task-specific AIs, this achievement demonstrates a significant advance in abstract reasoning, suggesting models are progressing towards more general intelligence faster than anticipated.

OpenAI's Astra model solved 10 distinct, difficult problems in mathematics and computer science. Leading mathematicians confirmed that these were significant challenges they cared about. A human solving any single one would be impressive; a human solving all 10 would be unbelievable.

Third-party tracker METR observed that model complexity was doubling every seven months. However, a recent proprietary model shattered this trend, demonstrating nearly double the expected capability for independent operation (15 hours vs. an expected 8). This signals that AI advancement is accelerating unpredictably, outpacing prior scaling laws.

While the long-term trend for AI capability shows a seven-month doubling time, data since 2024 suggests an acceleration to a four-month doubling time. This faster pace has been a much better predictor of recent model performance, indicating a potential shift to a super-exponential trajectory.

The leap from AIs solving high-school-level math to potentially solving Millennium Prize Problems in just one year suggests a dramatic acceleration in capability. This raises the urgent possibility that AIs could soon design more efficient AI architectures, triggering a recursive self-improvement loop—an 'intelligence explosion'—far sooner than anticipated.

Harmonic, co-founded by Vlad Tenev to build mathematical superintelligence, has seen its model 'Aristotle' advance faster than anticipated. Initially targeting competition-level math, Aristotle is already assisting with or solving previously unsolved 'Erdős problems,' accelerating the timeline towards tackling foundational scientific challenges.