Both the hard left, which sees modern institutions as corrupt, and the traditional right, which laments the decline of past authorities, are ideologically primed to reject data showing societal progress. For both, positive trends can be seen as a form of heresy.
Unlike established systems with clear rules (like Christianity), the modern left operates on "vague vibes" of ideological purity. This lack of a self-regulation mechanism creates a constant pressure to prove loyalty through extremism. As standards escalate, anyone who could provide a moderating influence is purged, leading to an endless cycle of radicalization.
The global rise of right-wing populism cannot be solely attributed to economic factors like inequality or job loss. Its prevalence in wealthy, low-inequality nations like Sweden and strong manufacturing countries like Germany proves the root cause is a deeper, more widespread cultural anxiety.
After temporary alliances like 'Red and Tech vs. Blue', the next major political shift will unite the establishment left and right against the tech industry. Blues resent tech's capitalists, Reds resent its immigrants, and the political center blames it for societal ills. This will create a powerful, unified front aiming to curtail tech's influence and wealth.
The University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey reveals a massive, near-record 60-point gap between Republicans and Democrats. This extreme polarization suggests that respondents' perceptions of the economy are now overwhelmingly shaped by their political affiliation, making the aggregate survey data a less reliable measure of underlying economic health.
Left-leaning parties are losing worldwide because they offer economic solutions (e.g., more government programs) to what is fundamentally a cultural problem. Voters feeling existential anxiety from globalization and social change are drawn to the right's message of nostalgia and tradition, not the left's policy proposals.
A deep distrust of the bipartisan "neoliberal consensus" has made many young people receptive to any counter-narrative, whether from the left or right. This creates a powerful anti-establishment bloc that finds common ground in opposing the status quo, explaining the crossover appeal of populist figures.
Journalism's inherent bias toward sudden, negative events creates a pessimistic worldview. It overlooks slow, incremental improvements that compound over time, which data analysis reveals. This explains why data-oriented fields like economics are often more optimistic.
The widening gap between the economic fortunes of the rich and the middle class is eroding faith in capitalism across the political spectrum. This sentiment is no longer confined to the left, as Republican pollsters find their own focus groups expressing deep skepticism of big business, mirroring progressive talking points and signaling a broad political realignment.
Using the 'horseshoe theory,' the analysis posits that the far-left and far-right often meet on extreme issues, such as antisemitism. This convergence serves as a critical litmus test for dangerous ideas. When ideologies from opposite ends of the spectrum align, it signals a significant societal risk.
Public backlash against AI isn't a "horseshoe" phenomenon of political extremes. It's a broad consensus spanning from progressives like Ryan Grimm to establishment conservatives like Tim Miller, indicating a deep, mainstream concern about the technology's direction and lack of democratic control.