Emad Mostaque argues that the math for a tax-funded Universal Basic Income (UBI) doesn't work. Providing even a poverty-level UBI in the U.S. would cost $5 trillion, the entire federal tax base. Corporate taxes from AI giants wouldn't come close, necessitating a fundamental rethinking of how money is created and distributed.
Emad Mostaque proposes a new digital currency where mining is replaced by dedicating compute to public-good AI projects like cancer research. The value of the "Foundation Coin" is backed by its direct contribution to human benefit, creating an incentive structure for building aligned, open-source AI infrastructure.
The common narrative for a post-labor future is Universal Basic Income (UBI). However, Elon Musk's perspective is "Universal High Income." This vision is not about wealth redistribution but about radical technological deflation, where the costs of energy, labor, and transportation approach zero, creating massive abundance and purchasing power for everyone.
The AI industry and the US government both require trillions in funding. This creates a paradox: the more successful AI becomes, the more it erodes the white-collar tax base by automating jobs, forcing the Treasury to borrow even more and intensifying the competition for scarce capital.
Faced with mass job loss from AI, governments are unlikely to seize assets from the wealthy. The politically easier path is to print massive amounts of money for social support, preserving the existing capital structure while devaluing the currency.
Following Amazon's model, AI-native companies will reinvest all available cash into acquiring more compute power for a competitive edge. They will operate in a perpetual land-grab mode and never need to show a profit, making them impossible to tax effectively and rendering corporate taxation an obsolete funding mechanism for the state.
AI agents, powered by GPUs, don't need to eat, sleep, or consume goods. This "metabolic rift" breaks the traditional economic loop where labor's earnings fuel consumption, creating a system where production is divorced from human needs and participation.
Emad Mostaque argues that as AI makes intelligence abundant (e.g., free expert medical advice), our economic system, which is built on scarcity, interprets the resulting job displacement and disruption as poverty, even if overall well-being improves.
Providing every American with a poverty-level UBI of $16,000 would cost $5 trillion annually. This figure exceeds the entire US federal tax base of approximately $4.9 trillion. This simple calculation demonstrates that funding UBI through traditional taxation is not a viable solution for AI-driven job displacement.
Financial support (UBI) is insufficient for a thriving populace. The real safety net in an AI-driven world is a 'Universal Basic AI'—a personal, sovereign AI agent that acts in the user's best interest. This provides capability and access to resources, ensuring individuals are empowered, not just subsidized.
Since taxing profitless AI companies is impossible, a new system is needed. Instead of redistribution, money creation itself must be re-engineered. Capital could be generated and injected directly to individuals for simply existing and participating in the economy, fundamentally changing how money enters circulation.