The US Defense Industrial Base is optimized for a few high-cost, technologically advanced platforms. This model fails to meet the demands of modern conflicts, which require large volumes of affordable, attritable hardware to counter tactics used by adversaries in Ukraine and the Middle East.

Despite facing conventionally superior US and Israeli forces that can degrade its missile and nuclear capabilities, Iran leverages low-cost asymmetric tactics like drone strikes. This strategy allows it to inflict continuous damage and prolong the conflict without needing to match its adversaries' military might.

Building massive sensor networks or missile defense systems is physically observable, giving adversaries time to develop countermeasures. In contrast, a sudden leap in AI-enabled intelligence processing can be invisible, creating a surprise window of vulnerability with no warning.

Military technology often evolves incrementally. However, a breakthrough like the Maxim machine gun can suddenly render centuries of established doctrine—such as the drilled infantry charge—completely obsolete. This creates a strategic crisis that forces an equally radical technological and tactical response, like the tank.

Modern asymmetric warfare is less about ground skirmishes and more about economic attrition through missile technology. Adversaries use extremely cheap drones and mines to exhaust the multi-million-dollar missile defense systems of better-equipped powers, creating a lopsided cost exchange.

Ukraine is pioneering 'last mile autonomy' not as a strategic push for automation, but as a tactical necessity. When Russia jams the data link to a drone, the system can autonomously complete the final leg of its attack on a pre-identified target, countering electronic warfare.

The conflicts in Ukraine and Iran reveal a paradigm shift in military strategy. Expensive, high-risk assets like B2 bombers are becoming obsolete. The future is asymmetric warfare: swarms of cheap, disposable drones or 'motorcycles with bombs,' where losing most of the units is acceptable if a few reach their target.

The conflict with Iran highlights a new reality in warfare. Inexpensive, easily produced drones create an asymmetrical threat, as defense systems are vastly more expensive to deploy per incident, making traditional defense economically unsustainable.

Modern warfare has shifted. A $25,000 drone can neutralize a multi-million dollar missile system or threaten a billion-dollar warship. This asymmetry allows less powerful nations or groups to create massive disruption against sophisticated militaries, changing the calculus of global power.