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High-net-worth individuals are not abandoning major cities entirely. Instead, they are using technology to relocate their personal residency to low-tax states like Florida while their companies and teams remain in hubs like New York. This decouples their tax obligations from their economic activity, threatening the financial foundation of major cities.
Billionaires like Mark Zuckerberg legally pay near-zero income tax by taking a $1 salary. Their wealth comes from stock appreciation. They access cash not by selling stock (a taxable event), but by borrowing against it. The core strategy is avoiding taxable income altogether.
California is on the verge of a massive tax revenue surge from upcoming IPOs of companies like SpaceX and OpenAI. However, a proposed wealth tax on illiquid assets is causing tech leaders to relocate, potentially costing the state the very economic boom it needs to balance its budget.
The potential exodus of VCs to tax-friendly states like Florida doesn't mean Silicon Valley is dead. Instead, it could lead to a decoupling where startups remain in talent hubs like the Bay Area, while founders travel to distinct fundraising hubs—like a 'Sand Hill Road in Miami'—for capital roadshows.
Founder Aaron Galperin moved from high-tax California to no-tax Texas specifically to avoid state income tax on his company's sale. This pre-exit relocation is a crucial, often overlooked financial strategy that significantly increases a founder's net take-home pay from a liquidity event.
While New York has successfully become a secondary hub for the tech industry, this growth is not a panacea for its economic woes. The tech sector is smaller than the financial industry it's partially replacing and faces the same constraints, such as the extraordinary cost of housing and childcare, that are driving talent and wealth away.
Threatening to confiscate wealth from the most mobile people incentivizes them to leave. This capital flight has already begun in response to the proposal, proving such policies ultimately reduce the state's long-term tax revenue by driving away the very people they aim to tax.
Unlike cities dependent on a single company (Bentonville/Walmart), NYC's fiscal health is robust because its reliance on high earners is spread across diverse industries like finance, art, and media. Kapadia calls it the only major US city that is not a 'company town,' providing a more stable tax base.
Billionaire wealth taxes are easily dodged by relocating. A more robust policy would tax capital gains based on the jurisdiction where the value was created, preventing billionaires from moving to a zero-tax state just before selling stock to avoid taxes.
Billionaire CEOs face a no-win situation where publicly opposing a wealth tax invites attacks from employees, shareholders, and media. The rational response is to remain silent while privately planning a move to a more favorable tax jurisdiction like Austin or Miami.
Citing his firsthand experience with France's wealth tax, Manny Roman argues such policies often prove disastrous. The wealthy are mobile and can "vote with their feet" by moving to lower-tax jurisdictions like Belgium or Switzerland. This mobility undermines the intended tax base, rendering the policy ineffective.