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Valuing companies on EBITDA ignores genuine economic costs. Depreciation represents capital that businesses must reinvest to maintain operations. Furthermore, serial acquirers frequently mask acquisition costs by parking expenses in amortized intangible assets and subsequently adding those charges back to earnings. Relying on EBITDA multiples strips out essential capital disciplines and obscures corporate reality.
Companies that grow via frequent acquisitions often exclude integration costs from adjusted metrics by labeling them "one-time" charges. This is misleading. For this business model, these are predictable, recurring operational expenses and should be treated as such by analysts calculating a company's true profitability.
A common diligence red flag is a pro forma P&L where the PE buyer slashes the owner's compensation to a low salary, artificially boosting EBITDA. They then apply a high multiple to this inflated number, creating value that is not sustainable once the owner leaves.
Originally, EBITDA was a tool for leveraged buyout investors to see if a company could cover debt payments if it halted all capital expenditures. Its evolution into a primary metric for overall business health ignores critical factors like working capital and maintenance CapEx, distorting reality.
Traditional valuation multiples are increasingly misleading because GAAP rules expense intangible investments (R&D, brand building) rather than capitalizing them. For a company like Microsoft, properly capitalizing these investments can drop its P/E ratio from 35 to 30, revealing a more attractive valuation.
By claiming AI chips have a 5-6 year lifespan instead of a more realistic 3, companies can manipulate accounting figures like EBITDA. This hides massive upfront costs and pushes the appearance of profitability further into the future, masking the true scale of their losses.
The era of easy money is over, forcing a reckoning on EBITDA adjustments. Lenders are more skeptical of prospective add-backs, while sponsors must now generate real operational improvements to achieve target returns. The tailwinds of cheap financing and multiple expansion that previously masked underperformance have disappeared.
Investor Michael Burry argues that hyperscalers overstate profits by depreciating GPUs over 5-6 years when their economic usefulness is only 2-3 years due to rapid technological advances. This accounting practice, which Burry calls a "common fraud," masks true costs and inflates valuations.
A valuation multiple like P/E is not a starting point for analysis; it's the final, compressed expression of a deep understanding of a business's economics. You must "earn the right" to use a multiple by first doing the complex work of analyzing cash flows, competitive advantages, and reinvestment opportunities.
"Adjusted EBITDA" presents a curated version of reality, much like sponsored posts. It adds back costs like stock-based compensation and projects unproven synergies, creating a flattering but often misleading picture of a company's health. S&P data shows these adjustments rarely pan out.
Measuring intangible assets is a major accounting challenge. Free cash flow sidesteps this problem because it simply measures cash left after all bills are paid, regardless of whether spending on intangibles is classified as an input cost or as a capital expenditure.