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Decades before OKRs became popular, W. Edwards Deming identified their core flaw. He argued that 'management by numerical goal' is a substitute for leadership and a way to manage without understanding the system of work. It encourages short-term thinking and gaming metrics, the precise issues plaguing modern companies.
The "memo is the strategy" isn't just a CEO problem. Teams often run the same play, creating roadmaps, OKRs, or retro actions that serve as announcements of intent but lack any real execution or follow-through mechanism.
OKRs and SMART goals are repackaged versions of Peter Drucker's 1940s "Management by Objectives." This framework was designed for simple, repetitive tasks on an assembly line, making it fundamentally unsuited for today's complex, knowledge-based work where problems have no single right solution.
The negative consequences of outcome-based goals often manifest months later in unrelated departments. This temporal and spatial separation, a feature of complex systems, makes it nearly impossible to attribute the damage to the original OKR, creating a cycle of invisible problems.
A team hitting all its targets is not an endpoint for celebration, but the starting point for an investigation. This counter-intuitive approach prompts leaders to ask critical questions, such as what unintended negative consequences this success could be creating for other departments months from now.
Setting rigid targets incentivizes employees to present favorable numbers, even subconsciously. This "performance theater" discourages them from investigating negative results, which are often the source of valuable learning. The muscle for detective work atrophies, and real problems remain hidden beneath good-looking metrics.
A common OKR failure is assigning teams high-level business metrics (like ARR) which they can only contribute to, not directly influence. Success requires focusing on influenceable customer behaviors while demonstrating how they correlate to the company's broader contribution-level goals.
The culture around OKRs often treats the framework as gospel. When teams struggle, the default response is "you're doing them wrong," labeling critics as heretics. This prevents genuine discussion about whether the system is fundamentally flawed, trapping organizations in a cycle of failed implementation.
The full quote, often misattributed to Peter Drucker, cautions that our obsession with measurement can lead us to manage pointless metrics, sometimes to the detriment of the organization's actual purpose. This highlights the risk of losing sight of what truly matters.
Inspired by W. Edwards Deming's 85/15 rule, sales should be viewed as a system. Instead of blaming individuals for poor performance, leaders must first fix the underlying process, as it accounts for 85% of outcomes. Most sales floors do the opposite.
The typical reaction to metrics being gamed is to introduce more leading and lagging indicators. However, this is a trap that falls prey to Goodhart's Law. It doesn't solve the underlying issue of goal fixation and instead just creates more numbers for teams to manipulate, further obscuring business reality.