The debate over food's future is often a binary battle between tech-driven "reinvention" (CRISPR, AI) and a return to traditional, organic "de-invention." The optimal path is a synthesis of the two, merging the wisdom of ancient farming practices with the most advanced science to increase yields sustainably without degrading the environment.
While a major contributor to emissions, the agricultural industry is also more vulnerable to climate change impacts than almost any other sector. This dual role as both primary cause and primary victim creates a powerful, intrinsic motivation to innovate and transition from a "climate sinner to saint," a dynamic not present in all industries.
The next leap in biotech moves beyond applying AI to existing data. CZI pioneers a model where 'frontier biology' and 'frontier AI' are developed in tandem. Experiments are now designed specifically to generate novel data that will ground and improve future AI models, creating a virtuous feedback loop.
Over the past 50 years, Americans have reduced per capita beef consumption by a third by substituting it with chicken. This seemingly simple dietary shift has inadvertently cut more emissions than any other climate action before the rise of solar power, highlighting the massive climate leverage in reducing beef production and its associated land use.
While often romanticized, a widespread shift to pre-industrial, low-yield organic farming would be a climate disaster. The core environmental problem of agriculture is land conversion. Since organic methods typically produce 20-40% less food per acre, they would necessitate converting massive amounts of forests and wildlands into farmland, releasing vast carbon stores.
The way we grow food is a primary driver of climate change, independent of the energy sector. Even if we completely decarbonize energy, our agricultural practices, particularly land use and deforestation, are sufficient to push the planet past critical warming thresholds. This makes fixing the food system an urgent, non-negotiable climate priority.
Despite shelves stocked with heirloom tomatoes and exotic grains, our core food supply is dangerously uniform. For example, 90% of U.S. milk comes from a single cow breed descended from just two bulls, and half of all calories consumed globally come from just three grasses.
Frances Arnold, an engineer by training, reframed biological evolution as a powerful optimization algorithm. Instead of a purely biological concept, she saw it as a process for iterative design that could be harnessed in the lab to build new enzymes far more effectively than traditional methods.
Storing seeds in vaults like Svalbard is a flawed backup plan because they are not adapting to new diseases and a changing climate. True resilience comes from cultivating diverse crops in the field, allowing them to co-evolve with threats and develop natural resistance.
Unlike wildlife conservation, which prioritizes non-interference, preserving agrobiodiversity requires consumption. Reviving, cultivating, and herding ancestral grains and livestock creates a market and an economic incentive for their survival, following the principle: "to save it, you've got to eat it."
AI will create negative consequences, like the internet spawned the dark web. However, its potential to solve major problems like disease and energy scarcity makes its development a net positive for society, justifying the risks that must be managed along the way.