To build a multi-billion dollar database company, you need two things: a new, widespread workload (like AI needing data) and a fundamentally new storage architecture that incumbents can't easily adopt. This framework helps identify truly disruptive infrastructure opportunities.

Related Insights

Don't view AI as just a feature set. Instead, treat "intelligence" as a fundamental new building block for software, on par with established primitives like databases or APIs. When conceptualizing any new product, assume this intelligence layer is a non-negotiable part of the technology stack to solve user problems effectively.

The long-sought goal of "information at your fingertips," envisioned by Bill Gates, wasn't achieved through structured databases as expected. Instead, large neural networks unexpectedly became the key, capable of finding patterns in messy, unstructured enterprise data where rigid schemas failed.

Instead of building AI models, a company can create immense value by being 'AI adjacent'. The strategy is to focus on enabling good AI by solving the foundational 'garbage in, garbage out' problem. Providing high-quality, complete, and well-understood data is a critical and defensible niche in the AI value chain.

For years, access to compute was the primary bottleneck in AI development. Now, as public web data is largely exhausted, the limiting factor is access to high-quality, proprietary data from enterprises and human experts. This shifts the focus from building massive infrastructure to forming data partnerships and expertise.

Incumbents face the innovator's dilemma; they can't afford to scrap existing infrastructure for AI. Startups can build "AI-native" from a clean sheet, creating a fundamental advantage that legacy players can't replicate by just bolting on features.

The founder used a "Napkin Math" approach, analyzing fundamental computing metrics (disk speed, memory cost). This revealed a viable architecture using cheap S3 storage that incumbents overlooked, creating a 100x cost advantage for his database.

The primary reason multi-million dollar AI initiatives stall or fail is not the sophistication of the models, but the underlying data layer. Traditional data infrastructure creates delays in moving and duplicating information, preventing the real-time, comprehensive data access required for AI to deliver business value. The focus on algorithms misses this foundational roadblock.

The excitement around AI capabilities often masks the real hurdle to enterprise adoption: infrastructure. Success is not determined by the model's sophistication, but by first solving foundational problems of security, cost control, and data integration. This requires a shift from an application-centric to an infrastructure-first mindset.

Contrary to the belief that object storage (like S3) is the future, the traditional file system is poised for a comeback as the universal interface for data. Its ubiquity and familiarity make it the ideal layer for next-gen innovation, especially if it can be re-architected for the cloud era.