Building a network effects business with financial institutions represents an extreme version of the 'cold start problem.' The initial phase of getting the first ~20 participants is excruciatingly difficult due to trust deficits, regulation, and inertia. It's described as 'the worst idea of all time,' but the value captured after achieving liftoff is immense.

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To de-risk innovation, teams must avoid the trap of building easy foundational parts (the "pedestal") first. Drawing on Alphabet X's model, they should instead tackle the hardest, most uncertain challenge (the "monkey"). If the core problem is unsolvable, the pedestal is worthless.

To overcome the cold start problem in a network effects business, especially in a conservative industry like finance, a powerful strategy is to create a coalition or consortium model. By giving early adopters ownership and governance rights, you align incentives, build trust, and transform would-be competitors into enthusiastic evangelists for the new network.

Instead of building a daily-use "toothbrush" product and searching for monetization, a more powerful model is to start with a high-value, profitable transaction (like a mortgage) and work backward to build daily engagement. This inverts the typical Silicon Valley startup playbook.

The advantage from data network effects only materializes at immense scale. The difference between a startup with 3 customers and one with 4 is negligible. This means early-stage companies cannot rely on a data moat to win; the moat only becomes visible after a market leader is established.

When introducing a disruptive model, potential partners are hesitant to be the first adopter due to perceived risk. The strategy is to start with small, persistent efforts, normalizing the behavior until the advantages become undeniable. Innovation requires a patient strategy to overcome initial industry inertia.

A visionary founder must be willing to shelve their ultimate, long-term product vision if the market isn't ready. The pragmatic approach is to pivot to an immediate, tangible customer problem. This builds a foundational business and necessary ecosystem trust, paving the way to realize the grander vision in the future.

Seeing an existing successful business is validation, not a deterrent. By copying their current model, you start where they are today, bypassing their years of risky experimentation and learning. The market is large enough for multiple winners.

Solving the Cold Start Problem in Finance Can Feel Like a Terrible Idea | RiffOn