Turing's CEO argues that frontier models are already capable of much more than enterprises are demanding. The bottleneck isn't the AI's ability, but the "first mile and last mile schlep" of integration. Massive productivity gains are possible even without further model improvements.
Current LLMs are intelligent enough for many tasks but fail because they lack access to complete context—emails, Slack messages, past data. The next step is building products that ingest this real-world context, making it available for the model to act upon.
There is a massive gap between what AI models *can* do and how they are *currently* used. This 'capability overhang' exists because unlocking their full potential requires unglamorous 'ugly plumbing' and 'grunty product building.' The real opportunity for founders is in this grind, not just in model innovation.
Obsessing over the next AI model is a distraction. Arvind Jain argues that even if model innovation stopped today, there are five years of massive growth ahead just from better applying existing capabilities. The real work is building valuable products on top of today's technology.
While AI models improved 40-60% and consumer use is high, only 5% of enterprise GenAI deployments are working. The bottleneck isn't the model's capability but the surrounding challenges of data infrastructure, workflow integration, and establishing trust and validation, a process that could take a decade.
The main barrier to AI's impact is not its technical flaws but the fact that most organizations don't understand what it can actually do. Advanced features like 'deep research' and reasoning models remain unused by over 95% of professionals, leaving immense potential and competitive advantage untapped.
The perceived plateau in AI model performance is specific to consumer applications, where GPT-4 level reasoning is sufficient. The real future gains are in enterprise and code generation, which still have a massive runway for improvement. Consumer AI needs better integration, not just stronger models.
The perceived limits of today's AI are not inherent to the models themselves but to our failure to build the right "agentic scaffold" around them. There's a "model capability overhang" where much more potential can be unlocked with better prompting, context engineering, and tool integrations.
AI's "capability overhang" is massive. Models are already powerful enough for huge productivity gains, but enterprises will take 3-5 years to adopt them widely. The bottleneck is the immense difficulty of integrating AI into complex workflows that span dozens of legacy systems.
The focus on achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is a distraction. Today's AI models are already so capable that they can fundamentally transform business operations and workflows if applied to the right use cases.
OpenAI's CEO believes a significant gap exists between what current AI models can do and how people actually use them. He calls this "overhang," suggesting most users still query powerful models with simple tasks, leaving immense economic value untapped because human workflows adapt slowly.