Only the Fed and commercial banks can create new, spendable money out of thin air. In contrast, credit creation, like in shadow banking, simply reallocates existing money from a saver to a spender. This distinction is crucial for understanding economic stimulus and risk.
Related Insights
Stuffing banks with reserves via Quantitative Easing doesn't spur lending if there's no real economy demand. The current shift is driven by a genuine "pull" for credit from sectors like AI and onshoring, making banks willing to lend, which is a far more powerful economic force.
The Fed's intervention in funding markets, while not officially labeled Quantitative Easing, directly helps the Treasury finance its debt, effectively monetizing it and providing critical liquidity to markets.
Karl Marx's Communist Manifesto demands a state monopoly on money and credit. Since all modern economies use central banks to control the money supply, they are built on a Marxist principle. With money being half of every transaction, these economies are at best 50% capitalist and 50% Marxist.
The US Federal Reserve's money printing functions as a global tax through the Cantillon effect. The first recipients of new money (government, large banks) benefit before inflation spreads. This silently dilutes the wealth of all other dollar holders, both domestically and internationally, effectively transferring purchasing power to entities closest to the money printer.
The post-Powell Fed is likely to reverse the QE playbook. The strategy will involve aggressive rate cuts to lower the cost of capital, combined with deregulation (like SLR exemptions) to incentivize commercial banks to take over money creation. This marks a fundamental shift from central bank-led liquidity to private sector-led credit expansion.
A core function of money is to be the 'final extinguisher of debt.' However, fiat currency is created as debt, meaning every dollar is both an asset and a liability. This inherent contradiction makes the entire financial system fundamentally fragile.
For the past decade, the Fed was the primary driver of liquidity. Now, the focus shifts to commercial banks' willingness and ability to create credit to fund major initiatives like AI and onshoring. Investors fixated on Fed policy are missing this crucial transition.
Goldsmiths distinguished between customers wanting specific gold returned (bailment) and those depositing fungible coins. This latter category allowed them to lend out deposits, creating a de facto fractional reserve system long before it was formally institutionalized, revealing the organic origins of modern banking.
The Federal Reserve's ability to print money is a direct mechanism to take value from every citizen without legislation. It is mathematically equivalent to government-sanctioned counterfeiting, devaluing currency and transferring wealth from the populace to the government, acting as a tax.
Central banks evolved from gold warehouses that discovered they could issue more paper receipts (IOUs) than the gold they held, creating a fraudulent but profitable "fractional reserve." This practice was eventually co-opted by governments to fund their activities, not for economic stability.