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Emil Michael notes the government has taken equity in Intel and structured loans with warrants for critical minerals, so equity stakes in frontier AI labs are not unthinkable. He says he is not involved in those talks and leaves the decision to the president.

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The idea of government ownership in major AI labs is gaining traction across the political spectrum. Proposals from both Senator Bernie Sanders and the Trump White House indicate the Overton window on government intervention is shifting quickly as AI capabilities increase and IPOs loom.

The scale of potential AI-driven economic disruption is forcing previously unthinkable policies into serious consideration. Ideas like the U.S. government taking ownership stakes in frontier AI firms to create a sovereign wealth fund have moved from anathema to plausible, indicating a rapid shift in the policy landscape.

A direct government equity stake in AI labs risks creating a legal precedent where the companies are seen as 'instrumentalities of the government.' This could subject them to constitutional constraints like due process, crippling their operational speed and turning them into highly regulated, slow-moving public utilities.

Amidst regulatory clashes, the Trump administration is reportedly considering taking equity stakes in major labs like OpenAI and Anthropic. This potential move could be a negotiating tactic to gain more control over AI safety and development, representing a significant escalation in government oversight of the technology.

The Trump administration's consideration of an FDA-like review process for new AI models signals a trend towards "soft nationalization." This involves government agencies partnering with and overseeing top AI labs to mitigate catastrophic risks and maintain a national security advantage.

In a significant policy shift, the White House is exploring a "partnership" with AI labs that could involve the government taking financial stakes. This idea, floated by both Senator Bernie Sanders and President Trump, signals a move towards treating frontier AI as a national strategic asset.

A significant, under-the-radar shift has occurred in venture capital: the U.S. government is now a key partner and co-investor in early-stage deep tech. Firms like Voyager Ventures report that nearly half their portfolio companies have government deals, with entities like In-Q-Tel becoming frequent co-investors, marking a new era of public-private collaboration.

Contrary to the assumption that private AI labs would resist government takeovers, some insiders, including leadership at Anthropic, are reportedly open to nationalization. Their primary concern isn't the act itself, but rather the nature of the administration that would assume control and how it would be executed.

The White House blocked Anthropic's plan to expand access to its Mythos model, citing compute constraints that could hamper government use. This signals a move towards "soft nationalization": exerting control over private AI resources without a formal takeover.

The U.S. may be strategically allowing private and international capital to fund the race to Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). If a private company achieves a breakthrough, the government is likely to nationalize it for security, leaving investors with nothing, similar to the Manhattan Project.