The idea of government ownership in major AI labs is gaining traction across the political spectrum. Proposals from both Senator Bernie Sanders and the Trump White House indicate the Overton window on government intervention is shifting quickly as AI capabilities increase and IPOs loom.

Anthropic's public calls for a pause on AI development are likely a strategic move. By stoking fear about AI's dangers, the company may be trying to get "nationalized" or create a regulatory moat that secures taxpayer funding and locks out smaller competitors, a classic case of regulatory capture.

The push for stricter US government action against China's AI practices is not just from politicians. Leading AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are pressuring Washington to curb Chinese 'distillation' of their models, framing it as a threat to national security and America's lead in AI.

Leaders from the far-left (Sanders), far-right (Trump), and the AI industry (Altman) are all converging on government equity stakes in AI companies. This rare alignment points to a viable path for managing AI's economic and safety risks, which they term 'GovGPT'.

The Trump administration's consideration of an FDA-like review process for new AI models signals a trend towards "soft nationalization." This involves government agencies partnering with and overseeing top AI labs to mitigate catastrophic risks and maintain a national security advantage.

In a significant policy shift, the White House is exploring a "partnership" with AI labs that could involve the government taking financial stakes. This idea, floated by both Senator Bernie Sanders and President Trump, signals a move towards treating frontier AI as a national strategic asset.

Contrary to the assumption that private AI labs would resist government takeovers, some insiders, including leadership at Anthropic, are reportedly open to nationalization. Their primary concern isn't the act itself, but rather the nature of the administration that would assume control and how it would be executed.

The US and China view AI superiority as a national security imperative comparable to nuclear weapons, ensuring massive state funding. However, this creates a major risk for investors, as governments may eventually decide to nationalize or control leading AI companies for military purposes, compressing multiples.

The White House blocked Anthropic's plan to expand access to its Mythos model, citing compute constraints that could hamper government use. This signals a move towards "soft nationalization": exerting control over private AI resources without a formal takeover.