Despite near-unlimited capital and distribution, Apple's most impressive innovation in the last decade has been a thinner iPhone. This is viewed as a major failure of vision and a massive missed opportunity for a company positioned to lead in new technological frontiers.
Despite analysts viewing live sports as a prime use case for the Apple Vision Pro, Apple's F1 partnership announcement omits plans for immersive 3D or spatial content. This failure to connect a major content acquisition with its new flagship hardware represents a significant missed opportunity to drive hardware adoption.
While adjacent, incremental innovation feels safer and is easier to get approved, Nubar Afeyan warns that everyone else is doing the same thing. This approach inevitably leads to commoditization and erodes sustainable advantage. Leaping to new possibilities is the only way to truly own a new space.
The seemingly unsuccessful thin iPhone Air is likely a strategic R&D initiative to master miniaturizing core components like silicon and PCBs. This effort paves the way for next-generation wearables like AI glasses, making the phone a public "road sign" for future products rather than a standalone sales priority.
Despite its hardware prowess, Apple is poorly positioned for the coming era of ambient AI devices. Its historical dominance is built on screen-based interfaces, and its voice assistant, Siri, remains critically underdeveloped, creating a significant disadvantage against voice-first competitors.
Visionary creators are often tortured by their own success. By the time a product launches, they are already deep into developing its superior successor and can only see the current version's flaws. This constant dissatisfaction is the engine of relentless innovation, as seen with Walt Disney.
Apple's historic commitment to user privacy prevented it from using the vast data pools competitors leveraged for AI. This created a technical disadvantage, forcing Apple to use its marketing prowess ('lipstick') to mask a technologically inferior AI product ('the pig').
Apple's failure to provide immersive, 3D spatial video for its new F1 partnership is a major missed opportunity for the Vision Pro. Live sports are a primary driver for VR/AR adoption. Offering only a standard 2D broadcast in a virtual environment fails to create a differentiated experience that would justify the hardware's cost for hardcore fans and drive platform adoption.
Contrary to the narrative that Apple is wisely waiting out the AI hype, reporter Mark Gurman asserts their AI strategy has been a "disaster." He claims the tech giant was "completely caught off guard" by ChatGPT and its anti-chatbot stance was a major mistake, revealing a significant strategic miss, not a deliberate, patient approach.
The fact that only 3,000 apps have been built specifically for Vision OS is a major red flag. Historically, developers flock to new Apple platforms to gain a first-mover advantage. This lack of enthusiasm indicates the platform's core flywheel—attracting developers to create content that attracts users—is failing.
Thompson critiques Apple's lucrative services strategy as a shift from creating the best products to "harvesting the profits from other companies' innovations." The argument is that this rent-seeking behavior is corrosive to the company's core DNA of product excellence and innovation.