Lifetime Value (LTV) is a vanity metric; Lifetime Gross Profit (LTGP) represents the actual cash available to reinvest in growth after covering fulfillment costs. All acquisition models and payback calculations should be based on gross profit, not revenue, to reflect true capital efficiency and growth potential.

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High top-line revenue is a vanity metric if it doesn't translate to profit. By setting a high margin target (e.g., 80%+) and enforcing it through pricing and cost management, you ensure the business is sane and profitable, not just busy.

An efficient acquisition model uses the gross profit from a new customer's very first transaction to fund the acquisition of the next customer. This transforms customer payments into a direct, self-perpetuating marketing budget, enabling growth without external capital by playing with "house money."

ROAS (Return on Ad Spend) is a vanity metric that can mask unprofitable customer acquisition. By focusing on POAS (Profit on Ad Spend), brands are forced to measure the actual profit generated from advertising, linking marketing directly to bottom-line health and avoiding the trap of 'growing broke'.

Everyone obsesses over Net Revenue Retention (NRR), but Gross Revenue Retention (GRR) is the real indicator of product health. GRR tells you if customers like your product enough to stay, period. A low GRR signals a core problem that expansion revenue in NRR might be masking.

Lifetime Value (LTV) is meaningless in isolation. The key metric for investors is the LTV to Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) ratio. A ratio below 3:1 indicates you're overspending on growth. The 3:1 to 5:1 range is healthy, while anything over 5:1 is world-class and attracts premium valuations.

By engineering your model so that the gross profit from a new customer in their first 30 days exceeds your acquisition cost (CAC), you can fund marketing on an interest-free credit card. The customer's own payment repays the debt before interest accrues, creating a self-funding growth loop.

Investors and acquirers pay premiums for predictable revenue, which comes from retaining and upselling existing customers. This "expansion revenue" is a far greater value multiplier than simply acquiring new customers, a metric most founders wrongly prioritize.

Escape the trap of chasing top-line revenue. Instead, make contribution margin (revenue minus COGS, ad spend, and discounts) your primary success metric. This provides a truer picture of business health and aligns the entire organization around profitable, sustainable growth rather than vanity metrics.

The industry glorifies aggressive revenue growth, but scaling an unprofitable model is a trap. If a business isn't profitable at $1 million, it will only amplify its losses at $5 million. Sustainable growth requires a strong financial foundation and a focus on the bottom line, not just the top.

Traditional SaaS metrics like 80%+ gross margins are misleading for AI companies. High inference costs lower margins, but if the absolute gross profit per customer is multiples higher than a SaaS equivalent, it's a superior business. The focus should shift from margin percentages to absolute gross profit dollars and multiples.

Prioritize Lifetime Gross Profit (LTGP) Over LTV to Accurately Model Growth Capital | RiffOn