The REIT market transformed from four highly correlated sectors (office, industrial, retail, residential) to a diverse universe including data centers and towers. Secular risks like e-commerce mean subsectors no longer move in unison, demanding specialized analysis rather than general real estate knowledge.

Meaningful affordability cannot be achieved with superficial fixes. It requires long-term, structural solutions: building 5-10 million more homes to address housing costs (40% of CPI), implementing universal healthcare to lower medical expenses, expanding public higher education, and aggressive antitrust enforcement to foster competition.

Counterintuitively, the best multifamily markets aren't high-population-growth cities like Austin. These attract too much new supply, capping rent growth. The optimal strategy is to find markets with barriers to entry and minimal new construction, as this creates a durable runway for rental increases.

The difference in home price trends between US regions is not about weather or jobs, but housing supply. States in the South and West that permit widespread new construction are seeing prices fall, while "Not In My Backyard" (NIMBY) states in the Northeast and Midwest face shortages and rising prices.

With high interest rates freezing the existing home market, homebuilders are successfully competing by using their own margins to "buy down" mortgage rates for customers. This strategy allows them to continue selling inventory even when affordability is broadly challenged.

New rent control laws don't just limit rent; they fundamentally cap the equity upside for real estate investors. By limiting potential cash flow growth from an asset, these policies make building or upgrading apartment buildings less attractive. This discourages the very capital investment needed to solve the housing supply crisis.

While lower interest rates seem appealing, they often fuel intense market competition and bidding wars. Higher rates can thin the herd of buyers, providing an opportunity for those who can still afford to purchase to secure a deal with less pressure and more negotiating power.

A significant cause of today's housing inventory shortage is that homeowners are locked into low-interest mortgages. "Portable mortgages," which are being actively evaluated by the FHFA, would allow homeowners to transfer their existing mortgage to a new property, removing the financial disincentive to move and potentially unlocking market liquidity.

The valuation gap between public and private real estate is historically wide. Sunbelt apartment REITs trade at implied cap rates of 6.5-7%, while similar private assets trade near 5-5.25%. This disconnect presents a compelling opportunity for public market investors to acquire quality assets at a significant discount.