Current real estate deliveries were financed in the 2020-22 low-rate era, causing a temporary supply glut in high-demand sectors like Sunbelt apartments. Since new construction halted in 2023, today's depressed prices offer a unique entry point before supply normalizes and rents can accelerate.

Luxury properties with obvious but superficial flaws, like bad lighting or cheap finishes from a poor flip, can deter less-savvy buyers. This creates an opportunity to purchase a property well below its potential market value, as the cost to fix the flaws is often minimal compared to the value added.

Newbrook refuses to invest unless the cap rate exceeds the borrowing cost from day one. This serves as a critical self-discipline, preventing speculation on future appreciation and guaranteeing that the asset generates a positive cash-on-cash return immediately, thereby de-risking the investment from the start.

Counterintuitively, the best multifamily markets aren't high-population-growth cities like Austin. These attract too much new supply, capping rent growth. The optimal strategy is to find markets with barriers to entry and minimal new construction, as this creates a durable runway for rental increases.

The difference in home price trends between US regions is not about weather or jobs, but housing supply. States in the South and West that permit widespread new construction are seeing prices fall, while "Not In My Backyard" (NIMBY) states in the Northeast and Midwest face shortages and rising prices.

The market for financial forecasts is driven by a psychological need to reduce uncertainty, not a demand for accuracy. Pundits who offer confident, black-and-white predictions thrive because they soothe this anxiety. This is why the industry persists despite a terrible track record; it's selling a feeling, not a result.

Heather Dubrow ignored a seller's offer of several hundred thousand dollars to cancel a deal. They proceeded, only to be caught in the 2008 financial crash. The seller's remorse was an intuitive red flag about future trouble that should have been heeded.

While lower interest rates seem appealing, they often fuel intense market competition and bidding wars. Higher rates can thin the herd of buyers, providing an opportunity for those who can still afford to purchase to secure a deal with less pressure and more negotiating power.

The best investment deals are not deeply discounted, low-quality items like "unsellable teal crocodile loafers." Instead, they are the rare, high-quality assets that seldom come on sale. For investors, the key is to have the conviction and preparedness to act decisively when these infrequent opportunities appear.