The perception of SaaS businesses as predictable, annuity-like investments is dead. AI introduces fundamental unknowns about growth, pricing, and market structure, breaking the old valuation models based on ARR and Net Dollar Retention.
Yamanaka factors—proteins that can reverse cellular age—are entering their first FDA-approved human clinical trial. The study will deliver the proteins into the eyes of patients to rejuvenate retinal cells and restore vision, marking a milestone for regenerative medicine.
Major AI advancements, such as Anthropic's Claude plugins for legal, security, and COBOL, are causing immediate, double-digit stock drops for incumbent companies in those sectors. The market is pricing in the disruption risk in real-time.
For the first time in history, AI could create a world where our ability to produce goods and services outstrips our capacity to consume them. This poses a fundamental challenge to traditional economic models built on scarcity and resource allocation.
A new wave of AI automation is being driven by non-technical staff using agent-based platforms. These knowledge workers are building custom AI solutions for complex business processes, bypassing the need for new software purchases or dedicated engineering resources.
Investors no longer just discount future cash flows; they question their very existence due to AI risk. This fundamental shift to an "if" mindset creates demand for a massive margin of safety, leading to drastically lower P/E multiples and higher discount rates.
To counter local fears of rising electricity costs, a proposed policy pledge would make hyperscalers responsible for their own power infrastructure. This neutralizes a key argument from opponents by ensuring residential electricity rates are not impacted by data center power consumption.
Counterintuitively, AI tools that make software engineering more efficient are increasing the demand for engineers. By lowering the cost of development (Jevons Paradox), AI is unlocking latent demand from non-tech industries that previously couldn't afford a large engineering workforce.
Local opposition to data center construction, often driven by a small number of activists, is directly costing the AI industry tens of billions in potential revenue by canceling gigawatts of necessary power capacity. This local friction represents a major bottleneck to AI's growth.
A new, high-value role is emerging for non-developers who can translate business processes into instructions for AI agents, manage them, and improve their skills. This "Agent Maestro" role combines deep operational expertise with AI orchestration, creating a new career path for business-focused professionals.
A viral Substack post detailing a fictional AI-induced economic crisis caused a real market tank. This shows how markets, sensitized to AI risk, can be moved by compelling narratives that masquerade as analysis, even without data—especially when amplified by motivated actors like short-sellers.
The ability for customers to build their own software features using AI agents directly threatens the traditional SaaS upsell model. During negotiations, customers can now credibly threaten to "roll their own" features instead of paying for higher-priced tiers, weakening the vendor's pricing power.
Negative AI scenarios are more persuasive than utopian ones because of inherent cognitive biases. The "seen vs. unseen" bias makes it easier to visualize existing job losses than to imagine new job creation. The "fixed-pie fallacy" incorrectly frames economic growth and productivity gains as zero-sum.
