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  1. Super Data Science: ML & AI Podcast with Jon Krohn
  2. 1020: How to Choose Model Size and Effort Level: The Two Critical Dials
1020: How to Choose Model Size and Effort Level: The Two Critical Dials

1020: How to Choose Model Size and Effort Level: The Two Critical Dials

Super Data Science: ML & AI Podcast with Jon Krohn · Aug 21, 2026

Optimize LLM outputs with two key dials: model size for capability and effort level for thoroughness. Match them to your task for better results.

Diagnose LLM Failures By Asking: 'Did It Try Hard Enough or Not Know Enough?'

When an LLM fails, determine if it was a diligence issue (didn't try hard enough) or a capability issue (didn't know enough). This simple diagnostic framework helps decide whether to increase the model's effort level or upgrade to a larger, more knowledgeable model.

1020: How to Choose Model Size and Effort Level: The Two Critical Dials thumbnail

1020: How to Choose Model Size and Effort Level: The Two Critical Dials

Super Data Science: ML & AI Podcast with Jon Krohn·a month ago

Larger, More Expensive LLMs Can Reduce Total Task Cost for Complex Work

For difficult, multi-step tasks, a more capable LLM can reach a solution with fewer iterations than a smaller model. Despite a higher per-token price, this efficiency can lead to a lower total token count and a cheaper overall cost for the task, proving that cheaper-per-token isn't always cheaper-per-task.

1020: How to Choose Model Size and Effort Level: The Two Critical Dials thumbnail

1020: How to Choose Model Size and Effort Level: The Two Critical Dials

Super Data Science: ML & AI Podcast with Jon Krohn·a month ago

An LLM's 'Effort Level' Is a Learned Behavior, Not a 'Thinking Time' Slider

The "effort" setting is not a control for processing time. Instead, it is an input that prompts the model to follow a pre-trained behavior. High effort causes the model to generate more reasoning tokens and tool calls, making it more thorough and certain before it considers a task complete. This behavior is baked into its frozen weights.

1020: How to Choose Model Size and Effort Level: The Two Critical Dials thumbnail

1020: How to Choose Model Size and Effort Level: The Two Critical Dials

Super Data Science: ML & AI Podcast with Jon Krohn·a month ago

LLMs Don't Learn From Prompts; Their Weights are Read-Only During Inference

During use (inference), an LLM's weights are frozen. Prompts and context can steer the model's predictions for a single request, but they do not permanently 'teach' it or alter its underlying parameters. This fundamental concept explains why context must be provided repeatedly and clarifies that hallucinations are plausible outputs based on training patterns, not new knowledge.

1020: How to Choose Model Size and Effort Level: The Two Critical Dials thumbnail

1020: How to Choose Model Size and Effort Level: The Two Critical Dials

Super Data Science: ML & AI Podcast with Jon Krohn·a month ago