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  1. Making Sense with Sam Harris
  2. #485 — The New Science of Cancer
#485 — The New Science of Cancer

#485 — The New Science of Cancer

Making Sense with Sam Harris · Jul 14, 2026

Oncologist Siddhartha Mukherjee discusses the new science of cancer, from prevention and detection to breakthroughs in treatment and the role of AI.

Cancer Isn't One Disease, But Hundreds United by Hijacked Normal Cell Pathways

Every cancer specimen is genetically unique, yet all share common traits like uncontrolled division and co-opting normal cell survival mechanisms. The key to treatment is finding pathways that are different enough from normal cells to target and exploit.

#485 — The New Science of Cancer thumbnail

#485 — The New Science of Cancer

Making Sense with Sam Harris·7 days ago

Cancer Prevention Science Struggles Because Its Goal Is a Non-Event

Unlike treating active diseases, prevention aims to make something *not* happen, which requires long, large, and expensive trials. Cancer also lacks a simple predictive biomarker like cholesterol for heart disease, forcing researchers to wait for the disease itself to appear as the endpoint.

#485 — The New Science of Cancer thumbnail

#485 — The New Science of Cancer

Making Sense with Sam Harris·7 days ago

No Major Preventable Chemical Carcinogen Has Been Discovered Since the 1960s

Despite billions in research, no widely impactful, preventable chemical carcinogen has been identified in over 50 years. This surprising stagnation suggests that current detection methods (like the Ames test) may be inadequate for modern, low-level, or combinatorial exposures.

#485 — The New Science of Cancer thumbnail

#485 — The New Science of Cancer

Making Sense with Sam Harris·7 days ago

New 'Inflammagen' Carcinogens Promote Cancer by Cultivating Inflammatory 'Soil'

A newly understood class of carcinogens, like particulate air pollution, doesn't cause DNA mutations (the 'seed'). Instead, these 'inflammagens' create a specific type of chronic inflammation that acts as fertile 'soil,' encouraging pre-existing, dormant cancer cells to awaken and grow.

#485 — The New Science of Cancer thumbnail

#485 — The New Science of Cancer

Making Sense with Sam Harris·7 days ago

Liquid Biopsy Tests' False Positives Are a Function of Cancer's Low Base Rate

Even a highly specific liquid biopsy test will produce many false positives in the general population. This is a mathematical certainty dictated by Bayes' theorem: when the 'prior probability' (the base rate of cancer) is very low, most positive signals will be statistical noise, not actual disease.

#485 — The New Science of Cancer thumbnail

#485 — The New Science of Cancer

Making Sense with Sam Harris·7 days ago

A 'Clean' Baseline MRI Fails to Solve the Anxiety of Future Spot Detections

The strategy of using a baseline MRI to track changes is undermined by human psychology. When a new spot appears on a later scan, very few patients are comfortable with a 'wait and see' approach, creating immense pressure for immediate, potentially unnecessary invasive biopsies.

#485 — The New Science of Cancer thumbnail

#485 — The New Science of Cancer

Making Sense with Sam Harris·7 days ago

Liquid Biopsies Excel at Monitoring Post-Remission Cancer, Not General Screening

The ideal use for cell-free DNA tests is tracking 'minimal residual disease' in patients already treated for cancer. In this high-risk group, the base rate of recurrence is much higher, making a positive test result far more reliable and actionable for early intervention.

#485 — The New Science of Cancer thumbnail

#485 — The New Science of Cancer

Making Sense with Sam Harris·7 days ago

CAR-T Therapies Fail Against Solid Tumors Due to Their Impenetrable Microenvironment

While revolutionary for liquid tumors, CAR-T cells struggle to attack solid tumors. The tumor's 'microenvironment'—a complex ecosystem of blood vessels, immune cells, and supportive structures—acts as a physical and biological barrier that prevents the engineered T-cells from reaching their target.

#485 — The New Science of Cancer thumbnail

#485 — The New Science of Cancer

Making Sense with Sam Harris·7 days ago

New Cancer Drugs Provide a 'First Crampon' for Future Therapeutic Breakthroughs

A new drug that extends life by only months, like a recent pancreatic cancer inhibitor, shouldn't be seen as a failure. Its true victory is proving a new biological pathway can be targeted, creating a 'foothold' or 'first crampon' for scientists to build upon with subsequent therapies.

#485 — The New Science of Cancer thumbnail

#485 — The New Science of Cancer

Making Sense with Sam Harris·7 days ago

AI in Drug Discovery Must Be Taught Medicinal Chemistry Rules, Not Just Patterns

Unlike fields with vast training data like image recognition, effective drug discovery has too few successful examples for AI to learn from alone. To be useful, AI models must be explicitly taught the foundational principles and complex rules of medicinal chemistry that human experts use.

#485 — The New Science of Cancer thumbnail

#485 — The New Science of Cancer

Making Sense with Sam Harris·7 days ago

Widespread Genetic Testing Is Creating a New Class of Anxious, Healthy 'Previvors'

The rise of accessible genetic tests and risk scores has spawned a new psychological category: the 'previvor.' These are healthy individuals who, based on their data, live with the chronic fear and anxiety of developing a future cancer, occupying a stressful state between patient and person.

#485 — The New Science of Cancer thumbnail

#485 — The New Science of Cancer

Making Sense with Sam Harris·7 days ago

U.S. Is Offshoring Drug Innovation, with Imports from China Growing Over 12-Fold

Contrary to the goal of onshoring critical industries, the U.S. is increasingly relying on Chinese biotech for new medicines. Drug in-licensing from China is projected to skyrocket from $5 billion in 2020 to an expected $60-70 billion by 2025, signaling a major shift in global pharmaceutical power.

#485 — The New Science of Cancer thumbnail

#485 — The New Science of Cancer

Making Sense with Sam Harris·7 days ago

U.S. Hospitals' Most Critical Supply Chain Vulnerability Is Intravenous Saline

The entire American hospital system, with its advanced technology, is critically dependent on a secure supply of intravenous saline—sterile salt water. This basic, non-onshored product represents a massive systemic risk, as a disruption could paralyze nearly all medical and surgical procedures.

#485 — The New Science of Cancer thumbnail

#485 — The New Science of Cancer

Making Sense with Sam Harris·7 days ago