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  1. Thoughts on the Market
  2. AI’s New Rules of Engagement
AI’s New Rules of Engagement

AI’s New Rules of Engagement

Thoughts on the Market · Aug 7, 2026

Government is no longer on the sidelines. US policy is shaping AI's future through tech restrictions, domestic rules, and infrastructure.

U.S.-China Tech Rivalry Is Forging Two Separate, Competing Global AI Ecosystems

Escalating restrictions from both the U.S. (export controls) and China (market access rules) are splitting the global AI market. This bifurcation will create distinct technology stacks, from hardware to models and data standards, forcing other nations and companies to align with one of the two competing systems.

AI’s New Rules of Engagement thumbnail

AI’s New Rules of Engagement

Thoughts on the Market·2 days ago

AI Infrastructure Regulation Creates Investment Opportunities in Bottleneck Energy Solutions

Government rules on where AI data centers can be built will concentrate development in specific geographies. This constraint creates a strong investment case for solutions that solve the resulting power and resource bottlenecks, such as on-site power generation, fuel cells, and energy storage systems.

AI’s New Rules of Engagement thumbnail

AI’s New Rules of Engagement

Thoughts on the Market·2 days ago

U.S. AI Regulation Favors a "Light-Touch" Approach Except for Advanced Frontier Models

The U.S. government is not pursuing a single, heavy-handed regulatory regime. Instead, it favors a voluntary framework for most AI while implementing direct, pre-release oversight specifically for the most powerful "frontier" models to manage national security and intellectual property risks.

AI’s New Rules of Engagement thumbnail

AI’s New Rules of Engagement

Thoughts on the Market·2 days ago