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  1. Thoughts on the Market
  2. AI’s Tangible Wins and Disruption
AI’s Tangible Wins and Disruption

AI’s Tangible Wins and Disruption

Thoughts on the Market · Mar 6, 2026

AI offers tangible benefits & expands software's TAM, but rapid model advancement sparks disruption fears & a critical US power bottleneck.

Investor Focus on AI Is Rapidly Shifting From Productivity Gains to Disruption Risks

While companies are still focused on quantifying the immediate benefits of AI adoption, the market's narrative has quickly pivoted. Investors are now more concerned with the long-term, negative consequences of powerful AI, such as industry-wide disruption and deflationary pressures.

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AI’s Tangible Wins and Disruption

Thoughts on the Market·a day ago

Companies Must Quantify AI Adoption Benefits or Risk Being Left Behind

The trend is shifting from simply adopting AI to proving its ROI with specific metrics. As industry leaders publicly share their AI-driven gains, it creates a competitive necessity for all other companies to follow suit and quantify their own benefits, making it 'table stakes' for all.

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AI’s Tangible Wins and Disruption

Thoughts on the Market·a day ago

US Data Center Power Shortage Drives Profitable Repurposing of Bitcoin Mining Sites

The US is projected to be 10-20% short of needed data center capacity due to power and labor constraints. This has created a lucrative, unconventional opportunity for Bitcoin mining companies to convert their power-rich sites into data centers for hyperscalers, increasing their asset valuation by 10x or more.

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AI’s Tangible Wins and Disruption

Thoughts on the Market·a day ago

AI Scaling Laws Dictate a 10x Compute Increase Yields Only a 2x Capability Boost

The relationship between computing power and AI model capability is not linear. According to established 'scaling laws,' a tenfold increase in the compute used for training large language models (LLMs) results in roughly a doubling of the model's capabilities, highlighting the immense resources required for incremental progress.

AI’s Tangible Wins and Disruption thumbnail

AI’s Tangible Wins and Disruption

Thoughts on the Market·a day ago