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From ClawdBots to Sauna Bros: Silicon Valley in 2026

From ClawdBots to Sauna Bros: Silicon Valley in 2026

More or Less · Jan 23, 2026

The AI bubble's impact on valuations and talent, the rise of scriptable AI like ClawdBot, and how it could disrupt SaaS business models.

Tesla's Autopilot Subscription Sells an Evolving 'Research Stream,' Not a Static Feature

Tesla is moving Autopilot from a one-time purchase to a subscription. The value proposition is not a fixed feature but an ongoing 'research stream'—continuous safety and capability improvements fueled by fleet data. This frames the subscription as buying insurance against obsolescence and risk.

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From ClawdBots to Sauna Bros: Silicon Valley in 2026

More or Less·a month ago

Recursive AI Engineering Method 'RALF' Overcomes LLMs' 'Regression to the Mean'

While AI struggles with novel storytelling by regressing to the mean, a new engineering method called RALF shows promise. It recursively works through a product spec, using a new context window for each task, enabling complex, long-running builds that were previously impossible.

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From ClawdBots to Sauna Bros: Silicon Valley in 2026

More or Less·a month ago

AI Startups Exhibit 'NFL Culture' Where Mercenary Co-Founders Exit When Promises Fail

High-valuation AI companies are built on human capital, not assets. This creates a mercenary "NFL culture" where large "co-founding" teams with loose titles will quickly leave for better opportunities if the initial vision falters, making these investments exceptionally volatile.

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From ClawdBots to Sauna Bros: Silicon Valley in 2026

More or Less·a month ago

Anthropic's AI Model Claude is Co-Writing Its Own Foundational Constitution

AI models are now participating in creating their own governing principles. Anthropic's Claude contributed to writing its own constitution, blurring the line between tool and creator and signaling a future where AI recursively defines its own operational and ethical boundaries.

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From ClawdBots to Sauna Bros: Silicon Valley in 2026

More or Less·a month ago

AI's New Creative Skill Is Crafting 'Secret Incantations' From Esoteric Knowledge

The true power of AI for knowledge work is formulating unique prompts derived from obscure or cross-disciplinary knowledge. This allows users to extract novel ideas that standard queries miss, making deep, non-mainstream reading a key competitive advantage in the AI era.

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From ClawdBots to Sauna Bros: Silicon Valley in 2026

More or Less·a month ago

Deliberate Mistakes Like Misspelling 'Clawd Bot' Drive High Social Media Engagement

One of the most effective ways to boost online engagement is to make a deliberate, correctable error. The podcast notes that misspelling "Clawd bot" led to a flood of comments from users eager to correct them, demonstrating that the internet's need to be right is a powerful growth hack.

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From ClawdBots to Sauna Bros: Silicon Valley in 2026

More or Less·a month ago

Hardware Subscriptions Like Eight Sleep's Thrive on Business Model, Not Necessary Updates

Companies like Whoop and Eight Sleep successfully use subscriptions not because their hardware requires constant upgrades, but because recurring revenue is a superior business model. This creates a vulnerability: if users can bypass the software lock-in, the model collapses without significant hardware improvements.

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From ClawdBots to Sauna Bros: Silicon Valley in 2026

More or Less·a month ago

OpenAI's Seed Round Offers a 25x Return, Not a Fund-Returning Homerun

Despite OpenAI's massive success, its capital-intensive nature means early seed investors see returns around 25x. While good, this isn't the massive fund-returner many assume, highlighting the risk of capital-consumptive businesses for seed funds, even when they become unicorns.

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From ClawdBots to Sauna Bros: Silicon Valley in 2026

More or Less·a month ago

AI Agents That Reverse-Engineer APIs Could Kill SaaS and Revive 'Shrink Wrap' Hardware

Ubiquitous local AI agents that can script any service and reverse-engineer APIs fundamentally threaten the SaaS recurring revenue model. If software lock-in becomes impossible, business models may shift back to selling expensive, open hardware as a one-time asset, a return to the "shrink wrap" era.

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From ClawdBots to Sauna Bros: Silicon Valley in 2026

More or Less·a month ago