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  1. At Any Rate
  2. Global Rates: Scandi Central Banks and noisy UK politics
Global Rates: Scandi Central Banks and noisy UK politics

Global Rates: Scandi Central Banks and noisy UK politics

At Any Rate · Sep 26, 2025

Riksbank and Norges Bank deliver 'hawkish cuts', raising the bar for future easing. Sweden's budget and UK political noise add complexity.

Sweden's Riksbank Signals End of Easing Cycle with a 'Hawkish' Rate Cut

The Riksbank cut rates, but its forward guidance and a dissenter's vote signal a very high bar for future easing. The move, based on forward-looking inflation expectations rather than current data, effectively marks the end of the easing cycle and creates opportunities for carry trades.

Global Rates: Scandi Central Banks and noisy UK politics thumbnail

Global Rates: Scandi Central Banks and noisy UK politics

At Any Rate·5 months ago

UK Labour Party Rules Make Leadership Contest Rumors Irrelevant to Gilt Markets

Media speculation about a UK Labour leadership challenge has minimal market impact because party rules make ousting a leader difficult. Unlike the Conservatives, Labour has no simple confidence vote and requires 20% MP support to trigger a ballot where the incumbent is automatically included.

Global Rates: Scandi Central Banks and noisy UK politics thumbnail

Global Rates: Scandi Central Banks and noisy UK politics

At Any Rate·5 months ago

Sweden's Surprise Fiscal Stimulus Overwhelms Central Bank's Inflation Fight

Sweden's 2026 budget introduced unfunded reforms worth 1.2% of GDP, far exceeding expectations. This large fiscal injection surprised markets, pushed interest rates higher, and shows how expansionary government spending can counteract a central bank's monetary policy signals.

Global Rates: Scandi Central Banks and noisy UK politics thumbnail

Global Rates: Scandi Central Banks and noisy UK politics

At Any Rate·5 months ago