A coming battle will focus on 'malinformation'—facts that are true but inconvenient to established power structures. Expect coordinated international efforts to pressure social media platforms into censoring this content at key chokepoints.
Investors try to apply lessons from past market cycles, but this collective awareness changes their behavior. This creates a self-reinforcing loop that alters timelines and dynamics, ensuring history only rhymes, not repeats.
The default path to prosperity provided by a societal framework is broken due to systemic economic issues. However, individuals can still thrive by focusing on developing high-utility skills, creating their own path to success.
The market is simultaneously devaluing software companies because AI is a viable competitor, while also punishing AI infrastructure companies for their massive capital expenditures with uncertain returns. This contradictory fear creates broad, indiscriminate selling.
The U.S. economy is entering an 'efficiency era' where AI-driven productivity allows GDP to grow without a proportional increase in jobs. This structural decoupling makes traditional economic health assessments obsolete and fuels recession fears.
In polling, aggressive, populist messaging resonates more than aspirational plans. Anger is a drug-like emotion that provides clarity, energy, and a sense of power, making it a highly effective but dangerous tool for political mobilization.
As digital natives like Gen Z become the dominant economic force, they will view digital assets like Bitcoin as a natural store of value, while physical gold will seem impractical and archaic, cementing Bitcoin's place in portfolios.
A robust investment strategy relies on a long-term, directional thesis about the world. Don't react to market volatility; only adjust your portfolio when your fundamental, long-term beliefs about the market have changed.
A company can beat earnings and still see its stock fall if its actions (e.g., high CapEx) contradict the prevailing market narrative (e.g., the AI bubble is popping). Price is driven by future expectations, not just present-day results.