New York politician Mamdani saw his subsidized grocery store plan would be exploited for resale, forcing him to consider ID checks. This highlights how easily incentive structures are abused—a reality often ignored in other policies like voting or immigration, where the same logic would apply.
For decades, the US has benefited from investors borrowing cheap Japanese yen to invest in higher-yield US assets (the carry trade). This has created a deep dependency, forcing the US to intervene and prevent Japan from raising its rates, which would cut off the vital flow of liquidity.
The US and Japan are not trying to fix the Japanese economy's fundamental problems. Instead, they are artificially propping up the yen to ensure the unwinding of the carry trade is a slow, managed decline rather than a sudden, catastrophic collapse that would devastate the global economy.
Japan's economy is stagnant because cheap debt has kept inefficient 'zombie companies' alive, preventing capital and talent from flowing to innovative new ventures. The only long-term solution is a painful, decade-long process of raising interest rates to force these companies to fail, fostering true growth.
The US intervention in Argentina is less about economics and more about foreign policy. By supporting libertarian president Javier Milei, the US aims to create a capitalist success story in South America, shoring up its regional influence and pushing back against China's 'debt-trap' diplomacy.
The energy from fringe movements, like the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA), can pull an entire political party to its extreme. This mirrors how the Tea Party's anti-establishment anger reshaped the Republican party, suggesting a predictable pattern of ideological capture in American politics.
Focusing on the specifics of legislation is a losing strategy. Politics is downstream of culture, meaning the underlying values and narratives of a society determine which policies are accepted. The real fight is for the 'soul of a country,' which happens at the cultural level, not in policy papers.
Written laws are meaningless if the culture doesn't support them. Stalin's Russia, for example, had an extraordinary bill of rights on paper that was completely ignored in practice. What matters is not the law itself, but the cultural willingness to enforce it.
The global economy was already financially fragile, like a city built below sea level protected by levees. COVID-era government shutdowns acted as the storm that broke those levees, revealing pre-existing weaknesses and causing problems that were bound to surface eventually. Authoritarian overreach simply accelerated the crisis.
