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  1. Economist Podcasts
  2. Rise and shine: Warsh’s Fed rate test
Rise and shine: Warsh’s Fed rate test

Rise and shine: Warsh’s Fed rate test

Economist Podcasts · Sep 17, 2026

New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh defies Trump with a rate hike, Okinawa's election signals a pro-military shift, and climate change threatens summer.

Fed Chair's First Rate Hike Was a Move to Establish Credibility, Not Just Tame Inflation

The decision to raise interest rates, while economically justifiable, was primarily a strategic move by new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh to assert institutional independence and stabilize market perceptions after a rocky start. It was a crucial step to prove he was not a political tool for the White House and could follow orthodox central banking principles.

Rise and shine: Warsh’s Fed rate test thumbnail

Rise and shine: Warsh’s Fed rate test

Economist Podcasts·17 days ago

Fed Chair Warsh Framed a Rate Hike as a Reward for Economic Strength, Not a Cure for Inflation

Instead of the typical narrative of raising rates as "tough medicine" for inflation, the new Fed Chair focused his justification on positive economic indicators like strong growth and productivity. This unusual positive framing served as a political strategy to manage the narrative and counter White House pressure for rate cuts.

Rise and shine: Warsh’s Fed rate test thumbnail

Rise and shine: Warsh’s Fed rate test

Economist Podcasts·17 days ago

Okinawa's Pro-Military Governor Won Due to Voter Fatigue, Not a Change of Heart on Bases

The surprising election of a pro-base governor in Okinawa reflects voter resignation, not a fundamental ideological shift. After years of fruitless opposition and legal defeats against the central government, the electorate pivoted to a candidate focused on pressing "bread and butter" economic issues that were being neglected.

Rise and shine: Warsh’s Fed rate test thumbnail

Rise and shine: Warsh’s Fed rate test

Economist Podcasts·17 days ago

Climate Change Creates a Paradox Where Summer Is Both Lengthening and Shrinking

While climate change is extending the calendar duration of summer, extreme heat is paradoxically shrinking the period suitable for traditional activities like tourism and outdoor recreation. This forces a shift of "summer" experiences to the milder spring and autumn months, fundamentally altering cultural and economic patterns.

Rise and shine: Warsh’s Fed rate test thumbnail

Rise and shine: Warsh’s Fed rate test

Economist Podcasts·17 days ago