Kevin Warsh's criticism of the Fed's reliance on data is viewed as dangerous. Data provides a common, objective language for policy debate and builds legitimacy. Abandoning it in favor of subjective judgment or "vibes" could erode the Fed's credibility and open the door to politically motivated, rather than evidence-based, decisions.
The Fed Chair is just one vote on the FOMC and cannot unilaterally dictate policy. To be effective, they must persuade other governors and regional presidents. A nominee like Kevin Warsh, perceived as partisan and not data-driven, may struggle to build the necessary consensus to implement his agenda, rendering him less powerful than expected.
As a Fed governor during the 2008 financial crisis, Kevin Warsh allegedly misjudged the situation. He reportedly focused on inflation risks and touted the financial system's health just as it was collapsing, raising serious questions about his ability to identify and manage systemic crises effectively.
Figures like Mohamed El-Erian and Jason Furman support Warsh, but this backing is framed as coming from an insular "Group of 30" of former central bankers. Critics argue this elite endorsement overlooks Warsh's public track record of poor calls and partisan shifts, valuing personal rapport over demonstrated performance.
Critics allege Kevin Warsh exhibits a pattern of partisanship, worrying about inflation and fiscal excess under Democratic presidents but pivoting to pro-growth, lower-rate stances under Republicans. This behavior raises serious questions about his political independence and commitment to the Fed's dual mandate, regardless of the administration in power.
In crises like 2008 and 2020, the Fed's perceived independence allowed it to broker vital policy solutions between a divided government. Appointing a figure seen as highly partisan, like Kevin Warsh, risks destroying this institutional trust, potentially paralyzing the Fed's ability to act as a reliable crisis manager when it is needed most.