To overcome executive skepticism, HP's Bilal Kouider reframes blockchain not as a niche crypto trend but as the result of 40+ years of innovation originating from 1970s academic research. He points to its current scale—processing over $28 trillion annually, more than Visa, Mastercard, and Amex combined—to establish its enterprise-grade credibility.
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Arif Hilali of Bain Capital Ventures warns investors against mistaking Silicon Valley hype for mainstream adoption. He uses cloud computing's slow, multi-decade rollout as a parallel for AI, suggesting that even when a trend seems obvious inside the tech bubble, its true market penetration takes much longer than anticipated.
A complete shift of financial assets to blockchain is imminent. This won't happen on transparent chains like Ethereum, but on purpose-built networks like Canton. The key enabler is configurable privacy, a feature that allows financial institutions to transact without broadcasting their proprietary positions to the entire world.
Unlike competitors using crypto to operate outside regulatory frameworks, Kalshi's CEO views on-chain technology as a tool to enhance a regulated system. He envisions using it for clearing to improve immutability and transparency, enabling a permissionless ecosystem built upon a compliant foundation.
Blockchain's disruption will not impact all of finance equally. Trading firms are safe because market making is a fundamental need. However, intermediaries like banks, exchanges, and custodians face an existential threat as their core function—managing ledgers and access—is directly replaced by blockchain's "private key and a ledger" infrastructure.
The recent explosion of stablecoins wasn't due to a new financial innovation, but the maturation of underlying blockchain infrastructure. Cheaper and faster transactions on Layer 2 solutions and improved Layer 1s finally made large-scale, low-cost payments practical for real-world use.
Widespread adoption of blockchain, particularly stablecoins, has been hindered by a "semi-illegal" regulatory environment in the U.S. (e.g., Operation Chokepoint). Now that this barrier is removed, major financial players are racing to integrate the technology, likely making it common within a year.
The last decade of crypto focused on moving assets like Bitcoin on-chain. The next, more significant mega-trend will be the migration of entire companies and their real-world revenue streams onto blockchains, involving both crypto-native firms and traditional giants like BlackRock and Stripe.
Unlike past crypto cycles characterized by widespread retail hype, the current market's energy comes from institutional adoption. Traditional financial firms are moving beyond pilots and using crypto rails in production. This shift signifies a more mature, robust, and potentially more sustainable phase for the industry.
Blockchains have evolved like computer architecture. Bitcoin was a single-purpose, incentivized P2P network. Ethereum introduced programmability, akin to the shift to general-purpose computers (von Neumann architecture). The current era of L2s focuses on scalability and specialization.
In past cycles, corporate interest in crypto was reactive to retail frenzy and often insincere. This time, financial institutions are building lasting tech and defining clear business cases, such as cost reduction and new product offerings, signaling a fundamental shift toward sustainable integration.
