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The investment thesis for a discounted holding company like Exor relies on two potential drivers of return: the intrinsic value growth of its core assets (like Ferrari) and the narrowing of the discount between its stock price and its net asset value (NAV).
Despite the market's skepticism reflected in a deep discount, Exor's management has a stellar track record. Since 2009, CEO John Elkann has compounded the company's net asset value at 18% per year, significantly outpacing the MSCI World Index's 12%.
To capitalize on its deep discount to NAV, Exor employed a sophisticated reverse Dutch auction for share buybacks. This allowed the company to repurchase €1 billion in shares at the lowest prices offered by shareholders, maximizing value accretion.
Investors can gain exposure to the luxury carmaker Ferrari at a substantial discount by purchasing shares in its largest shareholder, the Italian holding company Exor, which trades at a significant discount to its net asset value.
The thesis that a holding company's discount to Net Asset Value (NAV) will eventually narrow is not guaranteed. The case of Prosus, which owns a stake in Tencent worth more than its own market cap, demonstrates that these significant valuation gaps can remain for years.
Public markets punish complexity, creating opportunities. Exor's diverse portfolio of cars, tractors, luxury goods, and media is so heavily discounted that the market value of its Ferrari stake alone is greater than the entire company's market capitalization.
Exor, a holding company, trades at a 60% discount to its net asset value (NAV). Its stake in Ferrari alone is worth nearly its entire market capitalization, meaning investors effectively acquire its other holdings (like Stellantis and The Economist) for free.
There's a striking contrast within Exor: while the market heavily discounts the holding company's capital allocation ability, its internal asset management division, Lingotto, has achieved breathtaking returns (e.g., a 42x on Carvana) and tripled its AUM since 2023.
The market is skeptical of Exor's ability to make new successful investments beyond its legacy Fiat/Ferrari spinoff. This skepticism contributes to the large NAV discount, as investors aren't convinced management can generate future alpha outside of its historical core holdings.
Instead of complaining that its stock trades at a steep discount to its net asset value (NAV), Exor's management pragmatically views this as a chance to invest in themselves. They trimmed their highly appreciated Ferrari stake specifically to fund share buybacks at this significant discount.
Exor, an Italian holding company, owns 20% of Ferrari. Due to a deep conglomerate discount, Exor's entire market cap is less than the value of its Ferrari stake alone, effectively offering Ferrari shares at a steep discount plus other businesses for free.