Britain is modeling its new asylum system on Denmark's, even though Denmark is far less successful at integrating immigrants into its society and workforce. This strategic shift risks importing Denmark's integration failures in an attempt to deter new arrivals and address political pressures from populist parties.
Britain's tendency to study Scandinavian countries for policy lessons is flawed because they are too different in size, wealth, and social contentment. Spain offers a more comparable model across economic, cultural, and demographic metrics, making it a more relevant source for policy inspiration.
Denmark pioneered a strategy of "negative nation branding" to discourage asylum applications. This involves deliberately publicizing harsh policies, such as confiscating asylum seekers' jewelry, to make the country appear as unattractive as possible to potential migrants, thereby managing immigration through perception control.
The UK government's policy makes a critical category error by conflating concern over cultural erosion from non-assimilating migration (cultural nationalism) with ideologies of racial superiority (white supremacism). One is a defense of shared societal values, while the other is based on bigotry, and treating them as the same is a dangerous oversimplification.
Resistance to mass immigration is often mislabeled as racism when it's a defense of cultural uniqueness. The core fear is that blending all cultures creates a bland 'beige' monolith, ultimately allowing the most aggressive and cohesive incoming culture to dominate.
A simple test for a political system's quality is whether it must use force to retain its citizens. The Berlin Wall and North Korea's borders were built to prevent people from leaving, not to stop others from entering. This need to contain a population is an implicit confession by the state that life is better elsewhere, contrasting with free societies that attract immigrants.
Immigration's success or failure is determined by values alignment, not ethnicity. The US historically integrated diverse groups because they shared a foundational ethos. Current conflicts arise when immigrant populations hold fundamentally different core values from the host nation, creating societal friction regardless of race.
Instead of isolating Nigel Farage's populist movement, the UK's Conservative Party adopted many of its core tenets, such as Brexit and anti-immigration stances. This strategy of assimilation blurred ideological lines, making a future coalition with Reform UK more palatable internally.
In a counter-intuitive argument, the UK's Home Secretary, herself the daughter of immigrants, posits that restricting immigration is necessary to protect social harmony. The theory is that a perceived lack of control fuels public panic and racism, so tightening controls will calm tensions and ultimately shore up multiculturalism.
A recurring political pattern involves well-intentioned progressive policies being implemented without regard for practical consequences (e.g., border management). This creates a political vacuum and public frustration that the far-right exploits, leading to a severe, often cruel, overcorrection that dismantles both the flawed policy and underlying positive intentions.
Research shows new immigrants are absorbed into the housing market faster than the labor market. A policy shift towards border shutdowns and deportations would therefore likely ease shelter inflation more quickly than it would ease wage pressures, creating an unintuitive economic effect.