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The primary value of a fund like Power Law is providing access to scarce, private companies. When a portfolio company goes public, this value is 'competed away' as anyone can buy the stock. This creates a cycle where the fund must constantly identify the next wave of pre-IPO giants to stay relevant.

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The time for a new company to challenge an incumbent has compressed dramatically. As private market timelines extend, many unicorns that haven't gone public are already being 'eaten away' by the next wave of startups, creating a significant liquidity challenge for their late-stage investors.

Unlike a decade ago, today's most transformative, high-growth companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are choosing to remain private for longer. This trend concentrates the highest potential returns in private markets, making it difficult for public investors to 'own the future' of technology.

Ben Black created Power Law, a publicly listed fund, to address LP frustration with the long, unpredictable lockups of traditional VC funds. This structure allows investors to choose their own hold period and exit on their own terms, solving a major pain point.

The traditional IPO exit is being replaced by a perpetual secondary market for elite private companies. This new paradigm provides liquidity for investors and employees without the high costs and regulatory burdens of going public. This shift fundamentally alters the venture capital lifecycle, enabling longer private holding periods.

Venture capitalist Bruce Booth explains that bankers, lawyers, audit firms, and VCs all have strong financial incentives for a company to go public. This creates systemic pressure that may not align with the company's best long-term interests.

For institutional investors (allocators), the primary AI challenge is no longer getting into the best private deals. Due to venture capital's power law dynamics, the new problem is managing portfolios that are already heavily concentrated in illiquid mega-winners as they approach the public markets, turning an access problem into a positioning problem.

As top startups delay IPOs indefinitely, institutional portfolios are seeing their venture allocations morph into significant, illiquid growth equity holdings. These "private forever" companies are great businesses but create a portfolio construction problem, tying up capital that would otherwise be recycled into new venture funds.

The venture capital paradigm has inverted. Historically, private companies traded at an "illiquidity discount" to their public counterparts. Now, for elite companies, there is an "access premium" where investors pay more for private shares due to scarcity and hype. This makes staying private longer more attractive.

The abundance of private capital means the most successful companies no longer need to go public for growth funding. This disrupts the traditional VC model, where IPOs are a primary exit path, forcing firms to re-evaluate how and when they achieve liquidity for their limited partners, even for their best assets.

Companies like SpaceX and OpenAI command massive private valuations partly because access to their shares is scarce. An IPO removes this barrier, making the stock universally available. This loss of scarcity value can lead to a valuation decline, a pattern seen in other assets like crypto when they became easily accessible via ETFs.

A Public VC Fund's Success (IPO) Creates a 'Planned Exigence' Problem | RiffOn