In high-stakes acquisitions, the emotional desire to "win" and achieve kingmaker status often overrides financial discipline. Acquirers, driven by ego, blow past their own price limits, leading to massive overpayment and a high likelihood of the merger failing to create shareholder value.
In a competitive M&A process where the target is reluctant, a marginal price increase may not work. A winning strategy can be to 'overpay' significantly. This makes the offer financially indefensible for the board to reject and immediately ends the bidding process, guaranteeing the acquisition.
The most lucrative exit for a startup is often not an IPO, but an M&A deal within an oligopolistic industry. When 3-4 major players exist, they can be forced into an irrational bidding war driven by the fear of a competitor acquiring the asset, leading to outcomes that are even better than going public.
High-stakes business requires not just intellect but the capacity to handle immense emotional pressure. This 'emotional endurance,' often forged through personal hardship, provides a critical competitive edge during moments of extreme stress, such as a multi-billion dollar negotiation where the outcome is uncertain.
Beyond financial incentives or strategic differences, a primary driver for a successful partner to spin out from an established firm can be pure ego. The desire to build something independently and prove one's own success is a powerful, albeit rarely admitted, motivation for starting a new venture.
In auctions with uncertain value (like oil leases or even NFL draft picks), the winner is not a random bidder but the one with the most optimistic valuation. This often means the winner has significantly overestimated the item's true worth and is therefore 'cursed' by their victory.